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Ghana Agribusiness Report Q3 2015

Attention: There is an updated edition available for this report.

Ghana Agribusiness Report Q3 2015

BMI View: We believe that the Ghanaian cocoa sector will post reasonably strong growth over ourforecast period to 2018/19. High cocoa prices will encourage production, while the government haspledged schemes in order to encourage yield growth. The launch of a new government project to revitalisethe poultry sector suggests that the challenges facing the segment as it struggles to compete with importsare being taken seriously and, although firm proposals are thin on the ground, we remain optimistic aboutthe industry's future. One of the main constraints on growth will be high feed prices, giving added urgencyto programs aimed at increasing corn yields. We expect production levels to climb only gradually in thegrains segment and concerns exist in the near future regarding food price inflation.

Key BMI Forecasts

Cocoa production growth 2013/14 to 2018/19: 13.2% to 1.04mn tonnes. While much of this growthwill be due to base effects, the government has committed to supplying free inputs and improvinginfrastructure, while Cocobod has reformed its cocoa payment price.

Corn production growth to 2018/19: 1.9% to 1.9mn tonnes. Ghanaian corn yields remain low inrelative terms, with production still dominated by smallholders making limited use of fertilisers,mechanisation, improved seeds and post-harvest facilities. We do not expect outstanding growth over ourforecast period.

BMI Industry View
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Livestock Outlook
Table: Poultry Production & Consumption (Ghana 2014-2019)
Table: Pork Production & Consumption (Ghana 2014-2019)
Table: Beef Production & Consumption (Ghana 2014-2019)
Table: Poultry Production & Consumption (Ghana 2009-2014)
Table: Pork Production & Consumption (Ghana 2009-2014)
Table: Beef Production & Consumption (Ghana 2009-2014)
Grains Outlook
Table: Corn Production & Consumption (Ghana 2014-2019)
Table: Corn Production & Consumption (Ghana 2009-2014)
Cocoa Outlook
Table: Cocoa Production & Consumption (Ghana 2013-2019)
Table: Cocoa Production & Consumption (Ghana 2009-2014)
Featured Analysis
Africa's Promising Palm Oil Sector Development Faces Hurdles
Table: Foreign Investment In Africa's Palm Oil Sector
Table: BMI Operational Risk Ratings And Real GDP Growth
Commodity Price Analysis
Monthly Softs Update
Table: Select Commodities - Performance & Bmi Forecasts
Monthly Grains Update
Table: Select Commodities - Performance & Bmi Forecasts
Uptream Analysis
Africa GM Outlook
Table: Farm Size By Region
Africa Machinery Outlook
Table: Number Of Tractors Per 1,000ha Of Arable Land
Table: Farm Size By Region (2012)
Table: South Africa - New Tractor Sales Current Market Share In 2014 (%)
Africa Fertiliser Outlook
Downstream Analysis
Food Consumption
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts (Ghana 2012-2019)
Alcoholic Drinks
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Ghana 2014-2019)
Soft Drinks
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production & Trade (Ghana 2014-2019)
Mass Grocery Retail
Regional Overview
Middle East & Africa Regional Overview
Table: Foreign Investment In Africa's Palm Oil Sector
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Ghana 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Ghana 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Ghana 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Ghana 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Ghana 1990-2025)
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology

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