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Ghana Agribusiness Report Q2 2016

Ghana Agribusiness Report Q2 2016

BMI View: We believe that the Ghanaian cocoa sector will post reasonably strong growth over ourforecast period to 2018/19. High cocoa prices will encourage production, while the government haspledged schemes in order to encourage yield growth. However, a significant portion of the growth will bedue to base effects. We also see long-term opportunities (but also significant structural challenges) in WestAfrica's palm oil sector.

Key BMI Forecasts

Cocoa production growth 2014/15 to 2019/20: 42% to 996,000 tonnes. While much of this growth willbe due to base effects, the government has committed to supplying free inputs and improvinginfrastructure, while Cocobod has reformed its cocoa payment price.

2016 real GDP growth: 5.2% (up from an estimated 3.4% in 2015).

2016 consumer price inflation (ave): 14.0% (down from 17% in 2015).


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Agribusiness
Industry Forecast
Cocoa Outlook
Table: Ghana - Cocoa Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Cocoa Production & Consumption (Ghana 2012-2020)
Palm Oil Outlook
Table: Ghana - Palm Oil Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Cocoa Production & Consumption (Ghana 2012-2020)
Commodities Price Analysis
Global Commodities Strategy
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts
Featured Analysis
African Agriculture: Lower Growth Over Coming Years
Table: African Union CAADP Objectives To 2025
Table: Indonesia - Select Inward Cocoa Investment Projects
Table: Most Popular Brands Are Foreign - New Tractor Sales Current Market Share In South Africa In 2014 (%)
Uptream Analysis
Africa Machinery Outlook
Table: How Africa Compares With Other Regions
Table: Farm Size By Region (2012)
Africa GM Outlook
Table: Farm Size By Region
Africa Fertiliser Outlook
Downstream Analysis
Food
Latest Forecasts
Structural Trends
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts (Ghana 2012-2019)
Regional Overview
Middle East & Africa Regional Overview
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Ghana 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Ghana 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Ghana 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Ghana 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Ghana 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology

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