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Germany Renewables Report Q4 2017

Germany Renewables Report Q4 2017

BMI View:

We expect growth in the German non-hydropower renewables sector to slow under the newcompetitive capacity procurement scheme introduced under the EEG2017. The scheme will enableGermany to better regulate growth in relation to grid bottlenecks and ensure that new projects are costcompetitive.This transition will, in turn, ensure the long-term economic sustainability of the expansion, andinforms our upbeat outlook for the German renewables sector over the next decade.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

Germany is on track to transition in non-hydropower renewables sector to a competitive auctions-basedcapacity procurement system over 2017 under the EEG2017. This represents a substantial shift from theformer system, which revolved around feed-in-tariffs. The transition is indicative of the Germangovernment's intent to regulate renewables growth, and ensures that new capacity is cost-competitive.

This is particularly pertinent, given the fact that Germany has the second highest retail electricity pricesin Europe, and struggles with substantial grid bottlenecks for its north-south electricity flows

BMI Industry View
Table: Renewables Headline Forecasts (Germany 2016-2022)
Industry Forecast
Germany Renewables Forecast Scenario
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Connection Plan Improves Long-Term Planning Certainty, But Adds Little Near-Term Support
Table: Steady Decline In Bidding Prices
Table: Limited Capacity Tendered For Biomass Feeds Into Muted Forecast
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Germany 2015-2020)
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Germany 2021-2026)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Germany 2015-2020)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Germany 2021-2026)
Germany Renewables Projects Database
Table: Germany - Top 10 Renewables Projects By Capacity
Industry Risk Reward Index
Bottleneck Reduction To Bolster Future RRI Score
Market Overview
Sustainable Energy Policy and Infrastructure
Competitive Landscape
RWE Innogy
DONG Energy
EnBW Energie Baden-Württemburg AG
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology And Sources
Industry Forecast Methodology

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