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Germany Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Report Q2 2015


Attention: There is an updated edition available for this report.

Germany Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Report Q2 2015

BMI View: One of the largest markets in Europe, Germany will continue to experience rising demand forpharmaceuticals, sustained by an ageing population with a strong bias towards patented medicines. In spiteof this, additional restrictions on reimbursement, tempered by government's desire to preserve an industryintegral to Germany's positive balance of trade and international prestige, will nonetheless constrainrevenues and intensify already fierce competition amongst drugmakers. As such, drugmakers will perceive apositive, but deteriorating German operating environment, marked by intensifying price competition,increasingly burdensome regulation and an economic environment particularly susceptible to suddenexternal shocks.

Headline Expenditure Projections

Pharmaceuticals: from EUR39.95bn (USD53.53bn) in 2014 to EU39.83bn (USD49.79bn) in 2015;-0.3% in local currency terms and -7.0% in US dollar terms. Downwards from Q115

Healthcare: from EUR310.11bn (USD415.54) in 2014 to EUR317.41bn (USD396.76bn) in 2015; +2.4%in local currency terms and -4.5% in US dollar terms. Upwards in local currency from Q115


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Political
Economic
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Pharmaceutical Market Forecast
Table: Pharmaceutical Sales, Historical Data And Forecasts (Germany 2011-2019)
Healthcare Market Forecast
Table: Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Germany 2011-2019)
Table: Government Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Germany 2011-2019)
Table: Private Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Germany 2011-2019)
Prescription Drug Market Forecast
Table: Retail Pharmaceutical Expenditure, 2003-2010 (EURbn)
Table: Retail Pharmaceutical Expenditure, 2003-2010 (Packages, ms)
Table: Retail Pharmaceutical Expenditure, 2003-2010 (Average Price per Pack, EUR)
Patented Drug Market Forecast
Table: Patented Drug Market Indicators, Historical Data And Forecasts (Germany 2011-2019)
Generic Drug Market Forecast
Table: Generic Drug Market Indicators, Historical Data and Forecasts (Germany 2011-2019)
OTC Medicine Market Forecast
Table: Over-The-Counter (OTC) Medicine Market Indicators, Historical Data And Forecasts (Germany 2011-2019)
Pharmaceutical Trade Forecast
Table: Pharmaceutical Trade Data And Forecasts (Germany 2013-2019)
Table: Pharmaceutical Trade Data And Forecasts local currency (Germany 2013-2019)
Key Risks To BMI's Forecast Scenario
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Table: Selected Operation Risk Index Scores (100=Most Competitive)
Table: Germany GDP By Expenditure
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Western Europe Risk/Reward Index
Germany Risk/Reward Index
Rewards
Risks
Market Overview
Industry Trends And Developments
Epidemiology
Healthcare Sector
Health Insurance
Healthcare Sector Reforms
Table: Healthcare Resources
Table: Healthcare Activity
Table: Healthcare Personnel
Research & Development
Biotechnology Sector
Clinical Trials
Regulatory Development
Intellectual Property Regime
Pricing Regime
Table: Price Build-Up In The German Pharmaceutical Market
Reimbursement Regime
Parallel Imports
Competitive Landscape
Wholesale Sector
Retail Sector
Company Profile
Pfizer
GlaxoSmithKline (GSK)
Bayer Health Care
Sanofi
Merck KGaA
Merck & Co
Boehringer Ingelheim
Grünenthal
STADA Arzneimittel
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Germany 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Germany 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Germany 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Germany 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Germany 1990-2025)
Glossary
Methodology
Pharmaceutical Expenditure Forecast Model
Healthcare Expenditure Forecast Model
Notes On Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Index Overview
Table: Pharmaceutical Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Indicator Weightings

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