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Germany Food and Drink Report Q2 2015

Germany Food and Drink Report Q2 2015

BMI View: We have downgraded our outlook for Germany's food and drink sector on account of subduedprivate consumption, weak exports and a protracted economic slowdown. Between 2014 and 2019, totalfood consumption is forecast to expand by a compound annual growth rate of 3.6%. However, risks lie tothe downside as the external environment in the eurozone and Ukraine remains tense, while the Germaneconomy is gradually losing its competitive edge. Our forecasts for real GDP growth are below consensusand private consumption is not expected to have a significant positive impact on growth.

Key Forecasts (local currency)

Total food consumption growth year-on-year (y-o-y) in 2015: +4.0%; compound annual growth rate(CAGR) 2014-2019: +3.6%

Food consumption per capita growth (y-o-y) in 2015: +3.8%; CAGR 2014-2019: +3.5%

Total soft drinks sales growth (y-o-y) in 2015: +2.5%; CAGR 2014-2019: +3.0%

Alcoholic drinks sales growth (y-o-y) in 2015: +0.2%; CAGR 2014-2019: +0.5%

Total mass grocery retail sales growth (y-o-y) in 2015: +3.9%; CAGR 2014-2019: +4.5%


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Food
Drink
Mass Grocery Retail
Industry Forecast
Consumer Outlook
Food
Food Consumption
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts (Germany 2012-2019)
Confectionery
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Germany 2012-2019)
Frozen Fruit And Vegetables
Table: Frozen Fruit & Vegetables Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Germany 2012-2019)
Snack Foods
Table: Sweet Biscuits Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Germany 2012-2019)
Pasta
Table: Pasta Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Germany 2012-2019)
Dairy
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Germany 2012-2019)
Meat
Table: Meat Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecast (Germany 2011-2019)
Fish
Table: Fish Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecast (Germany 2012-2019)
Oils & Fats
Table: Oils & Fats Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecast (Germany 2011-2018)
Drink
Soft Drinks
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production & Trade (Germany 2012-2019)
Alcoholic Drinks
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Germany 2012-2019)
Hot Drinks
Table: Hot Drink Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Germany 2012-2019)
Mass Grocery Retail
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data & Forecasts (Germany 2012-2019)
Trade
Table: Trade Balance - Historical Data & Forecasts (Germany 2012-2019)
Macroeconomic Forecast
Economic Analysis
Table: Selected Operation Risk Index Scores (100=Most Competitive)
Table: Germany GDP By Expenditure
Industry Risk Reward Index
Western Europe - Risk/Reward Index
Table: Western Europe Food & Drink Risk/Reward Index Q215
Germany Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Food
Food Production
Organics
Dairy
Drink
Soft Drinks
Alcoholic Drinks
Mass Grocery Retail
Table: Structure Of Mass Grocery Retail Market By Estimated Number of Outlets (Germany 2006-2010)
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (Germany 2010-2019)
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (Germany 2010-2019)
Industry Trends And Developments
Food
Key Industry Trends And Developments
Drink
Key Industry Trends And Developments
Mass Grocery Retail
Key Industry Trends And Developments
Competitive Landscape
Table: Key Players In Germany's Food Sector
Table: Key Players In Germany's Drink Sector
Table: Key Players In Germany's Mass Grocery Retail Sector
Company Profile
Oetker Group
DMK
Haribo
Lieken Group
Emig
Radeberger Group
AB InBev Germany
Lidl Group
Rewe Group
Global Industry Overview
Table: TESCO - Selected Historical Financial Indicators
Table: Food and Drink Team's Core Views
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Germany 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Germany 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Germany 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Germany 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Germany 1990-2025)
Glossary
Food & Drink
Mass Grocery Retail
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Food & Drink Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting

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