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Germany Autos Report Q2 2016

Germany Autos Report Q2 2016

BMI View: We maintain our view that the strong consumer recovery, driven by increasing real wagegrowth and Germany's economic rebalancing from an export driven economy towards more privateconsumption, will drive growth in the passenger vehicle segment.

Key Views

Passenger vehicle sales will grow 5.6% in 2016.

Consequences from the Volkswagen emissions scandal will remain focused on Volkswagen only, andare unlikely to cause serious downturn in overall car demand.

A lack of investment in the infrastructure sector will hinder the commercial vehicle segment.

Vehicle production growth will slow marginally as emerging market growth remains weak.


BMI Industry View
Key Views
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Germany 2014-2020)
Latest Developments
Table: Latest Developments
Structural Trends
Passenger Vehicle Sales To Remain Strong in 2016
Commercial Vehicle Set To Grow Less Than Passenger Vehicles
Key risks: Discounts and Volkswagen Emissions Scandal Fall-Out
Production
Passenger Vehicles
Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Germany 2014-2020)
Latest Developments
Table: Latest Developments
Key Players
Table: Passenger Car Sales By Brand
Commercial Vehicles
Table: Commercial Vehicle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Germany 2014-2020)
Latest Developments
Table: Latest Developments
Key Players
Table: Heavy Truck Sales By Brand*
Table: Bus Sales By Brand
Motorcycles
Table: Motorcycle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Germany 2014-2020)
Latest Developments
Table: Latest Developments
Key Players
Table: Motorcycle Sales By Brand
Industry Risk/Reward Index
Italy And Spain Push To Join Peers
Central And Eastern Europe Labour Pressures Raise Risk
High-End Investment Reflects Top Ranking Status
Regional Overview
Industry Trend Analysis
Table: Western Europe - Autos Production Investment
Race For Electrified Premium Segment Begins
Sub-Contracting On The Rise
UK Powertrain Specialisation Increasing
Luxury Sports Production Expanding
French Brands Expanding Workforce
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Germany 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Germany 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Germany 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Germany 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Germany 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecasts
Sector-Specific Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators

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