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Germany Agribusiness Report Q4 2017

BMI View: We have made a number of positive forecast revisions for the German agricultural sector in ourQ4 2017 report update. We believe that the German agricultural system benefits from high levels ofcompetitiveness, strong infrastructure and a very good farming industry know-how. In the livestock sector,pork producers will be under pressure due to strained relations with Russia. Poultry production willcontinue to be the outperformer. Sugar and milk production will expand due to the removal of quotas. TheGerman dairy farmers had struggled in 2016 due to very low milk prices, falling to around EUR0.20 per kg.

The steady recovery in national milk prices will begin to return profitability to the country's milk producers.

We note that grains yields will begin to improve steadily from the 2017/18 period, recovering from theprevious two years.

Key Forecasts

Corn consumption will grow by a healthy 3.0% in 2016/17 to reach 1.1mn tonnes. Corn output will besteady in 2016/17 and 2017/18 at around 4.1mn tonnes.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Agribusiness
Industry Forecast
Sugar Outlook
Table: Germany - Sugar Production And Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Financial Outlook Improving: Suedzucker And Nordzucker Financials (EURmn) 2013-2017
Table: Sugar Production And Consumption (Germany 2015-2021)
Grains Outlook
Table: Germany - Grains Production And Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Structural Trends
Table: Grains Production And Consumption (Germany 2014-2021)
Dairy Outlook
Latest Updates
Table: Germany - Dairy Production And Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Structural Trends
Table: Dairy Production And Consumption
Livestock Outlook
Table: Germany - Livestock Production And Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: CAP Payments
Table: Livestock Production And Consumption
Commodities Price Analysis
Monthly Commodities Strategy: Upside Risks From China
Table: BMI Commodities Views
Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts
Featured Analysis
Industry Trend Analysis
Table: Breakdown Of Parties' Positions On Agriculture
Upstream Analysis
Europe GM Outlook
Europe Machinery Outlook
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (company-based estimates)
Europe Fertiliser Outlook
Downstream Analysis
Food
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Food Sales (Germany 2014-2021)
Regional Overview
Six Key Themes For Europe Agribusiness In 2017
Competitive Landscape
Table: Germany - Key Agribusiness Players
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Germany 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Germany 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Germany 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Germany 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Germany 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology

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