Gambia and Senegal Country Risk Report Q1 2021

Gambia and Senegal Country Risk Report Q1 2021

We have revised down our forecast for GDP growth in Senegal in 2020 to 0.9%, from a previous 2.1%, as the Covid-19 lockdown triggered an economiccontraction in Q220.


Brief Methodology
Senegal – Executive Summary
Core Views
Key Risks
Senegal – Country Risk Summary
SWOT
Economic – SWOT Analysis
Political – SWOT Analysis
Economic Outlook
Economic Growth Outlook
Senegal Well Placed For Robust Recovery From 2021
10-Year Forecast
The Senegalese Economy To 2029
Growth In Senegal To Accelerate On Exploitation Of Hydrocarbon Wealth
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
Political Outlook
Domestic Politics
Risks To Stability In Senegal Contained Despite Ongoing Social Tensions
Long-Term Political Outlook
Senegal To Maintain Relative Political Stability In A Volatile Region
THIS COMMENTARY IS PUBLISHED BY FITCH SOLUTIONS COUNTRY RISK & INDUSTRY RESEARCH and is NOT a comment on Fitch Ratings’ Credit Ratings. Any comments or data included in the report are solely derived from Fitch Solutions Country Risk & Industry Research and independent sources. Fitch Ratings analysts do not share data or information with Fitch Solutions Country Risk & Industry Research.Senegal & Gambia Country Risk Q1 2021ContentsThe Gambia – Executive Summary
Core Views
Key Risks
The Gambia – Country Risk Summary
SWOT
Economic – SWOT Analysis
Political – SWOT Analysis
Economic Outlook
Economic Growth Outlook
Ongoing Headwinds Threaten Economic Recovery In The Gambia
10-Year Forecast
The Gambian Economy To 2029
Domestic Demand To Support Steady Growth After Covid-19 Crisis
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
Political Outlook
Domestic Politics
Increased Political Uncertainty In The Gambia Ahead Of 2021 Presidential Election
Long-Term Political Outlook
Concerns Over Potential Backslide On Democratic and Economic Reforms
Global Macro Outlook
Larger Contraction Now, But Stronger Recovery Ahead
TABLE: GLOBAL MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS (2019-2024)
TABLE: DEVELOPED MARKETS – REAL GDP GROWTH, % y-o-y
TABLE: EMERGING MARKETS – REAL GDP GROWTH, % y-o-y
Index Tables
TABLE: SENEGAL – MACROECONOMIC DATA AND FORECASTS
TABLE: THE GAMBIA – MACROECONOMIC DATA AND FORECASTS

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