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Gabon Oil and Gas Report Q1 2015


Attention: There is an updated edition available for this report.

Gabon Oil and Gas Report Q1 2015

BMI View: A string of significant discoveries in Gabon's deepwater offshore offer upside risk to thecountry's longer term oil production outlook, although a challenging operating environment, the strains ofa lower oil price environment and long project lead times all pose risk to the downside. The country's gasoutlook remains heavily bearish, due to a low level of investment in midstream infrastructure, a lack ofexport options and limited domestic offtake.

The main trends and developments we highlight for Gabon's oil and gas sector are as follows:

While we expect some near-term gains in oil production, the longer term trend for Gabon's oil sector isone of decline, due to both natural depletion at maturing fields and limited new production coming onstream.

Although Gabon's deepwater potential offers significant upside risk to our view, the country's newhydrocarbons law has materially worsened fiscal and regulatory terms for international oil and gascompanies.


BMI Industry View
Table: Headline Forecasts (Gabon 2012-2018)
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Upstream Exploration
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (Gabon 2012-2017)
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (Gabon 2018-2023)
Upstream Projects
Table: Gabon Major Upstream Projects
Upstream Production - Oil
Table: Oil Production (Gabon 2012-2017)
Table: Oil Production (Gabon 2018-2023)
Upstream Production - Gas
Table: Gas Production (Gabon 2018-2023)
Refining
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Gabon 2012-2017)
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Gabon 2018-2023)
Refined Fuels Consumption
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Gabon 2012-2017)
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Gabon 2018-2023)
Gas Consumption
Table: Gas Consumption (Gabon 2012-2017)
Table: Gas Consumption (Gabon 2018-2023)
Trade - Oil
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Gabon 2012-2017)
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Gabon 2018-2023)
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Gabon 2012-2017)
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Gabon 2018-2023)
Table: Total Net Oil Exports - Crude and Products (Gabon 2012-2017)
Table: Total Net Oil Exports - Crude and Products (Gabon 2018-2023)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Africa - Risk/Reward Index
Table: BMI's Africa Oil And Gas Risk/Reward Index
Above-ground Risks Dampen The Outlook
Table: BMI's Africa Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Emergent Producers Stumble At Regulatory Hurdles
Mature Producers Continue To Underperform Their Potential
An Underwhelming Downstream
Table: BMI's Africa Downstream Risk/Reward Index
Gabon - Risk/Reward Ratings
Gabon - Upstream Index
Gabon - Downstream Index
Market Overview
Gabon Energy Market Overview
Overview/State Role
Licensing And Regulation
Government Policy
Licensing Rounds
Table: Upstream Projects Database
Oil And Gas Infrastructure
Oil Refineries
Gas Facilities
Competitive Landscape
Competitive Landscape Summary
Table: Key Players - Gabon Energy Sector
Company Profile
Addax Petroleum
Other Summaries
Regional Overview
Africa Overview
Lower Risk Appetite Slowing Exploration Drive
Unconventionals: New Frontier
East Africa: Offshore Gas, Onshore Oil
High-Risk Continent
Downstream Blues
Global Industry Overview
Table: Key US Production Zones Average Full Cycle Breakeven Cost Per Barrel (USD/bbl)
Table: Canadian Oil Sands Average Full Cycle Breakeven Cost Per Barrel (USD/bbl)
Table: Middle East Onshore Conventional Breakeven Cost Per Barrel, (USD/BBL)
Table: Average Fiscal Breakeven Prices Of Key Middle East Producers 2014 (USD/bbl)
Appendix
Africa - Regional Appendix
Table: Oil Consumption - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 ('000b/d)
Table: Oil Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 ('000b/d)
Table: Oil Production - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 ('000b/d)
Table: Oil Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 ('000b/d)
Table: Refining Capacity - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 ('000b/d)
Table: Refining Capacity - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 ('000b/d)
Table: Gas Consumption - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 (bcm)
Table: Gas Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 (bcm)
Table: Gas Production - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 (bcm)
Table: Gas Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 (bcm)
Table: LNG Net Exports - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 (bcm)
Table: LNG Net Exports - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 (bcm)
Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices, 10-year Forecasts
Table: Energy Price Forecasts ( Global 2012-2017)
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2018-2023)
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Source
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Bmi's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Table: Weighting

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