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Gabon Food and Drink Report Q4 2015

Gabon Food and Drink Report Q4 2015

BMI View: The prospects for the food and drink industry are impacted by Gabon's small population,particularly relative to its regional peers, presenting limited opportunities for large-scale expansion of thefood and drink industry. Premiumisation will have to play a more important role in driving growth. Gabonhas a very immature retail market, which restricts the spread of branded food and drink products. Foreigninvestment prospects in this area remain limited due to poor logistics, a lack of affordable and good-qualityreal estate and an unattractive business environment. We forecast that Gabon's real GDP growth will slowto 4.5% in 2015, compared to an estimated expansion of 5.4% in 2014. Private consumption will remain thekey growth driver, although the fall in oil prices - and its effect on government spending - poses downsiderisks to this.

Key Forecasts

Per capita food consumption growth (local currency) in 2015: +4.3%; compound annual growth rate (CAGR) 2014 to 2019: +4.1%.

Mass grocery retail sales growth (local currency) in 2015: +13.5%; CAGR 2014 to 2019: +12.1%.

Beer volume sales growth (litres) in 2015: +4.7%; CAGR 2014 to 2019: +5.2%.


BMI Industry View
Industry Forecast
Consumer Outlook
Food
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts (Gabon 2012-2019)
Drink
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Gabon 2014-2019)
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production & Trade (Gabon 2014-2019)
Mass Grocery Retail
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data & Forecasts (Gabon 2014-2019)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Table: Economic Activity (Gabon 2010-2019)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Sub-Saharan Africa Risk/Reward Index
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Q415 Food & Drink Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
West & Central Africa Market Overview
Looking Beyond Nigeria and Ghana For Opportunities In West Africa
Global Industry Overview
Table: Australia, Uk And Usa Estimated Herfindahl-Hirschman Index Scores - Food Retail Industry
Table: Boston Beer Company, Ab Inbev, Heineken And Sabmiller - Selected Trailing Return And Efficiency Ratios
Table: Food and Drink Core Views - Q215 Roundup
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Gabon 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Gabon 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Gabon 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Gabon 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Gabon 1990-2025)
Glossary
Food & Drink
Mass Grocery Retail
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Food & Drink Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting

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