France Telecommunications Q4 2018
We have downgraded our mobile outlook for Q418, but our overall outlook for the French telecoms market remainspositive. Mobile market growth in FY2017 was stronger than anticipated, buoyed by fierce competition and sustained investmentsinto LTE expansion and LTE-A/4G+ deployment. Despite a high mobile penetration rate, the French mobile market continuesexpanding, but this growth too will decelerate by the end of our forecast period. On the downside, operators results in the first half of2018 pointed to a slowdown of market growth. Iliad revealed that it had lost fixed broadband subscribers for the first time everand Altice also suffered losses. Incumbent Orange has shown some momentum with its premium strategy, especially leveraging itsfibre advantage, while Bouygues has become the strongest challenger recently, leveraging its strong position in 4G.
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