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France Real Estate Report 2017

BMI View: Commercial real estate prospects have improved in the wake of the inauguration of Macron inQ217, with transactional and leasing activity rising as business confidence grows. Office and retail subsectorswill be subject to pent-up demand for quality premises in centralised locations, whilst industrial realestate is set to remain stable due to steady demand from logistics firms.

French real estate is poised for a strong recovery following the result of the May 2017 elections, as theinauguration of Macron is considered a stable choice for the business environment. Reforms are on the wayas the new administration looks to tackle a historic period of low economic growth, labour marketdifficulties, high unemployment and entrenched bureaucracy. The outlook for Europe's second largesteconomy has drastically improved, and with it the potential for market capitalisation in the commercialproperty sector.

Paris will continue to observe the highest rate of demand and transactional activity for commercial realestate, since the capital benefits from its strong position as an economic hub for financial services, tech,retail and manufacturing. Marseilles, the second city we cover in our forecast, is supported by a large freightindustry and represents an important trading centre for the region; the industrial sub-sector tends to be theoutperformer here with a steady stream of demand from both domestic and foreign occupiers. Whilst inNice, the third city in our forecast, the main economic driver is the tourism industry, sustaining gooddemand for high-end retail in the city.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Political
Economic
Industry Forecast
Office Forecast
Table: Office Rental Rates, 2012-2017 (per square metre per month)
Table: Office Yields, 2012-2021 (%)
Retail Forecast
Table: Retail Rental Rates, 2012-2017 (per square metre per month)
Table: Retail Yields, 2012-2021 (%)
Industrial Forecast
Table: Industrial Rental Rates, 2012-2017 (per square metre per month)
Table: Industrial Yields, 2012-2021 (%)
Residential/NonResidential Building - Outlook And Overview
Latest Developments
Table: Residential and Non-Residential Building Industry Data (France 2016-2026)
Structural Trends
Table: Key Projects: Construction & Social Infrastructure
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Activity
Industry Risk Reward Index
Table: Developed States Real Estate Risk/Reward Index
Rewards
Risks
Market Overview
Competitive Landscape
Property Developers
Property Managers
Real Estate Investment Trusts
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (France 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (France 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (France 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (France 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (France 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Real Estate Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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