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France Power Report Q2 2016

France Power Report Q2 2016

BMI View: Non-hydropower renewable power will receive the bulk of new investments, while nuclearpower will remain France's dominant electricity source. More stringent emission targets, combined withthermal power becoming increasingly unprofitable, will cement the position of the cheaper nuclear- andrenewable power sources.

Latest Updates and Structural Trends

After discovering weak spots in the vessel of the European Pressurised Reactor (EPR) for the plannedFlamanville 3 nuclear power plant, French nuclear regulator ASN has stated it is delaying its decision onhow to proceed until end-2016. This could potentially lead to further delays to the nuclear reactor as wellas higher costs, which is already estimated to cost EUR10.5bn, an increase from the initial EUR3bn.

The Bouchain combined-cycle power plant, currently under construction, will receive the first 9HA unitfrom GE, which is being touted as the world's largest and most efficient gas turbine with a generatingcapacity of over 61%.

Électricité de France (EDF) is planning to shut down all its fuel oil-fired power plants by 2018. Thecurrent low power price environment has made the operation of oil-fired power unprofitable.

In the absence of new hydropower projects, we are maintaining our current forecasts for hydropower inFrance, with total generation expected to shrink from 56.18 terawatt hours (TWh) in 2016 to 52.9TWh in2025.

The Cestas solar farm in Bordeaux has been commissioned and connected to the grid. At 300MW incapacity, It is officially Europe's largest solar power plant.

The winners of a total of 200 solar power projects, totalling up to 800 megawatt (MW) in capacity, havebeen announced by the French Ministry of Ecology, Sustainable Development and Energy. Feed-intariffs(FiT) will apply for the projects at EUR129/MWh for rooftop and EUR124/MWh for groundmountedsolar panels.


BMI Industry View
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (France 2015-2021)
SWOT
Industry Forecast
France Snapshot
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic And Demographic Data (France 2014-2019)
Table: Country Snapshot: Demographic And Economic Data (France 2020-2025)
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector
France Power Forecast Scenario
Nuclear Generation And Capacity Forecast
Thermal Generation And Capacity Forecast
Hydropower Generation And Capacity Forecast
Renewables Generation And Capacity Forecast
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (France 2014-2019)
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (France 2020-2025)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (France 2014-2019)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (France 2020-2025)
Electricity Consumption
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (France 2014-2019)
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (France 2020-2025)
Transmission And Distribution
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (France 2014-2019)
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (France 2020-2025)
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (France 2014-2019)
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (France 2020-2025)
Industry Risk/Reward Index
NAWE Power Risk/Reward Index
France Power Risk/Reward Index
Rewards
Risks
Market Overview
Key Policies And Market Structure
Regulation And Competition
Sustainable Energy Policies
Pricing
France Power Projects Database
Table: France - Top Ten Projects By Capacity
Competitive Landscape
Electricité de France (EDF)
Engie
Poweo Direct Energie
Areva
Company Profile
Electricité de France (EDF)
Regional Overview
NAWE Power Regional Overview
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology
Methodology And Sources
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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