France Freight Transport Report 2016
BMI View: The French freight transport sector will experience tepid growth over 2015, with rail and air set to outperform road freight in terms of tonnage growth.
Nevertheless, road will continue to dominate the freight mix over 2016, with over 95.5% of the total market share, followed by rail freight carrying 4.4% of total freight.
We do not anticipate major changes to the freight mix through our forecast period to 2020 given the dominance of the road network, though significant investment in rail freight could increase the sector's market share in the longer term.
The French economy will grow by 1.4% in real terms in 2016, up from 1.1% in 2015.
Private consumption will continue to be the main driver of growth though the structural impediments to a significant uptick in French activity remain.
Since 2012-2013, there has been a dearth of investment in the French economy.
We expect private consumption to contribute 0.9pp to growth in 2016 and 2017 making it the largest driver of growth.
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