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Ethiopia Power Report Q4 2017

Ethiopia Power Report Q4 2017

BMI View: We maintain our view hydropower megaprojects will drive growth in electricity generationand capacity over our 10-year forecast period in Ethiopia, with the government's existing ambitious powerexport agreements and further plans ensuring commitment to power sector expansion remain robust overthe next decade. We also note growing interests in other renewables technologies, with the governmentplanning for five wind farms and geothermal production at various sites.

Key Trends And Latest Developments

Political risk will remain elevated in Ethiopia in the coming quarters. Social unrest has seemingly cooledin recent months, following violent protests throughout 2016. That said, we believe this is more aresponse to the six-month state of emergency, suggesting potential for a swift resurgence. Meanwhile, wealso see scope for future attacks against the country's Grand Ethiopian Resistance Dam (GERD).Tensions will continue between Egypt and Ethiopia over the dam, but the Egyptian government is notlikely to act. More likely though, as a major flagship infrastructure project, it will serve as a major targetfor anti-government groups.


BMI Industry View
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Ethiopia 2016-2022)
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Ethiopia Snapshot
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Ethiopia 2016-2021)
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Ethiopia 2021-2026)
Ethiopia Power Forecast Scenario
Hydropower Generation And Capacity Forecasts
Table: Planned Hydropower Projects
Renewables Generation And Capacity Forecasts
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Ethiopia 2015-2020)
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Ethiopia 2021-2026)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Ethiopia 2015-2020)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Ethiopia 2021-2026)
Electricity Consumption
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Ethiopia 2015-2020)
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Ethiopia 2021-2026)
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Ethiopia 2015-2020)
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Ethiopia 2021-2026)
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Ethiopia 2015-2020)
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Ethiopia 2021-2026)
Industry Risk Reward Index
SSA Power: Political And Economic Risks Overshadow Potential Rewards
Industry Trend Analysis
Market Overview
Key Policies And Market Structure
Ethiopia Power Projects Database
Table: Ethiopia - 10 Largest Power Projects By Capacity
Competitive Landscape
Regional Overview
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology
Methodology And Sources
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sources
Power Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Indicators - Explanation and Sources

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