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Ethiopia Infrastructure Report Q2 2016

Ethiopia Infrastructure Report Q2 2016

BMI View: We have adjusted our forecasts upwards for 2016 to 18.5% real growth following revisions tothe historical data showing strong activity between 2011 and 2014. Primary drivers of growth up to 2025will include expansion in the non-residential sector, supported by an improved transport infrastructurenetwork, and developments in electricity generation capacity. Investors may be discouraged by China'sdominance of the competitive landscape and the lack of transparency in the tendering process.

Ethiopia's construction sector is forecasted to grow at 13.6% y-o-y in 2016 before moderating over our 10-year forecast. The main drivers of growth will be developments in critical infrastructure and expansion inthe non-residential sector, both encouraging further foreign direct investment. Deterrents to entering themarket will be security risks from neighbouring Somalia and Eritrea and the incidence of fraudulent dealsbetween the public and private sectors.

BMI Industry View
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Ethiopia 2015-2025)
Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (Ethiopia 2016-2016)
Infrastructure SWOT
Industry Forecast
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Ethiopia 2015-2025)
Industry Risk Reward Index
Ethiopia Industry Risk/Reward Index
Africa - SSA Infrastructure RRI: Stabilisation, But Tough Year In 2016
Table: SSA Infrastructure Risk Reward Index Table, Q216
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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