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Estonia Infrastructure Report 2016

Estonia Infrastructure Report 2016

BMI View: A return to positive growth in Estonia's construction and infrastructure industry is forecast for 2016, before holding fairly robust momentum over the next decade.

Hot spots can be found in residential building, although a housing bubble may be on the horizon, while EU transport and energy interconnectivity projects are seeing focused investment across the Baltics.

Financing may be an issue given the small size of the market and the only tentative recovery in Estonia's external demand picture, although private consumption will remain resilient in the short term.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

Positive growth will return to the Estonian construction industry in 2016, with a confident 4.7% rebound after three years of recession.

We see the residential and non-residential sector only growing in dominance as a percentage of total construction value over our forecast period, rising from 63.9% in 2015 to 73.7% in 2024.

Despite projects gaining momentum, Estonia's energy infrastructure sector will grow only moderately over the next decade, averaging 1.8% growth annually to 2024, when its value will amount to EUR300mn (USD406mn).

Transport infrastructure will contribute 47% to total infrastructure value in 2016 at EUR210mn (USD215mn), before falling to 45.2% in 2024 and a total of EUR280mn (USD330mn).


BMI Industry View
Latest Updates And Structural Trends
Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Estonia 2015-2021)
Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (Estonia 2015-2015)
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Infrastructure And Construction Forecast Scenario
Latest Updates
Table: Estonia 10 Year Construction Industry Forecast
Structural Trends
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
Industry Forecast Scenario
Latest Updates
Table: Transport Infrastructure Industry Data (Estonia 2015-2024)
Structural Trends
Major Projects Table - Transport
Table: Major Projects - Transport
Energy And Utilities - Outlook And Overview
Industry Forecast Scenario
Latest Updates
Table: Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Data (Estonia 2015-2024)
Structural Trends
Major Projects Table - Energy & Utilities
Table: Major Projects - Energy and Utilities
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview
Industry Forecast Scenario
Latest Updates
Table: Residential And Non-Residential Building Industry Data (Estonia 2015-2025)
Structural Trends
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Estonia Infrastructure Risk Reward Index
Risk/Rewards Index
Rewards
Risks
CEE - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index
Table: Election Timetable*, Q4 2015 - Q1 2016
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Company Profile
Merko
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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