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Estonia Freight Transport Report 2016

Estonia Freight Transport Report 2016

BMI View: Estonia's freight transport sector will continue to be affected by a drop in exports owing to alack of demand from Russian markets (as a result of the food import ban) in addition to continuingeconomic weaknesses in Europe and especially in the Nordic countries, two of which are Estonia's topexport destinations. Rail freight dominates the country's freight mix and will continue to do so over themedium term, benefitting from thawing tensions between Russia and the West over the longer term.

Estonia's economy has suffered since sanctions were imposed on Russia, and the ongoing tensions betweenthe West and Russia will also affect the tourist industry in Estonia. However, we still remain bullish onEstonia's transport capabilities and for telecoms, the low-tax environment combined with a highly skilledworkforce will benefit ICT services. Estonia's economy has shifted towards a more positive outlook andwill post relatively strong real GDP growth over the next two years. With regard to exports, beyond theslightly pessimistic short-term outlook, Estonian exports are forecasted to improve over the medium term.

The recovery in the British and US economy will see exports to these markets rise. In addition, we believerelations between the West and Russia will thaw, increasing Estonian exports to the east. However, exportsmay not go back to the levels seen before the outbreak of the Ukraine crisis by the end of our forecastperiod.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Freight Transport
Political
Economic
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Trade Forecast
Table: Trade Overview (Estonia 2013-2020)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Estonia 2013-2020)
Road Freight Forecast
Table: Road Freight (Estonia 2013-2020)
Rail Freight Forecast
Table: Rail Freight (Estonia 2013-2020)
Air Freight Forecast
Table: Air Freight (Estonia 2013-2020)
Market Overview
Company Profile
Estonian Air Cargo
Eesti Raudtee Cargo (EVR Cargo)
Political Outlook
Domestic Politics
Long-Term Political Outlook
Table: Estonia Politics Table
Oil Price Outlook
Europe - Brent On Board For A Bumpy Ride
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Table: Economic Activity (Estonia 2010-2019)
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Estonia 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Estonia 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Estonia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Estonia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Estonia 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Sources

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