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Egypt Oil and Gas Report Q1 2015


Attention: There is an updated edition available for this report.

Egypt Oil and Gas Report Q1 2015

BMI View: Investor sentiment in Egypt has significantly improved as political stability returns and thegovernment begins repayments owed to oil companies. We forecast upside for investment and production innatural gas projects, though note fuels subsidies continue to disincentivise investment in the downstream.

We highlight the following trends and developments in Egypt's oil and gas sector:

In December 2014, BP Egypt announced plans to invest USD12bn in the West Nile Delta project overthe next five years. The company is aiming to double its current gas supply.

RWE Dea has made considerable progress over 2014, doubling its output. The company is focusing onEgypt as a growth market.


BMI Industry View
Table: Headline Forecasts (Egypt 2012-2018)
SWOT
Oil & Gas SWOT
Industry Forecast
Upstream Exploration
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (Egypt 2012-2017)
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (Egypt 2018-2023)
Upstream Projects
Table: Key Upstream Oil And Gas Projects In Egypt
Upstream Production - Oil
Table: Oil Production (Egypt 2018-2023)
Upstream Production - Gas
Table: Gas Production (Egypt 2012-2017)
Table: Gas Production (Egypt 2018-2023)
Refining
Table: Refining Capacity & Refined Products Production (Egypt 2012-2017)
Table: Refining Capacity & Refined Products Production (Egypt 2018-2023)
Refined Fuels Consumption
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Egypt 2012-2017)
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Egypt 2018-2023)
Gas Consumption
Table: Gas Consumption (Egypt 2012-2017)
Table: Gas Consumption (Egypt 2018-2023)
Table: New Natural Gas Subsidies For Grid Connected Users
Trade - Oil
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Egypt 2012-2017)
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Egypt 2018-2023)
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Egypt 2012-2017)
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Egypt 2018-2023)
Table: Total Net Oil Exports - Crude & Products (Egypt 2012-2017)
Table: Total Net Oil Exports - Crude & Products (Egypt 2018-2023)
Trade - Gas (Pipeline And LNG)
Table: Gas Net Exports (Egypt 2012-2017)
Table: Gas Net Exports (Egypt 2018-2023)
Industry Risk Reward Index
Africa - Risk/Reward Index
Table: BMI's Africa Oil And Gas Risk/Reward Index
Above-ground Risks Dampen The Outlook
Table: BMI's Africa Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Emergent Producers Stumble At Regulatory Hurdles
Mature Producers Continue To Underperform Their Potential
An Underwhelming Downstream
Table: BMI's Africa Downstream Risk/Reward Index
Egypt - Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Egypt Energy Market Overview
Regulation
Political Regime
Fiscal Regime
Table: Egyptian Tax Regime
Licensing Rounds
Table: Onshore And Offshore International Bid Round 2013 Awards
Oil And Gas Infrastructure
Oil Refineries
Table: Refineries In Egypt
Service Stations
Oil Storage Facilities
Oil Terminals/Ports
Oil Pipelines
LNG Terminals
Table: LNG Terminals In Egypt
Gas Pipelines
Competitive Landscape
Competitive Landscape Summary
Table: Key Players - Egyptian Energy Sector
Table: Key Upstream Players
Table: Key Downstream Players
Company Profile
Egyptian General Petroleum Corporation
BP Egypt
Eni Egypt
Shell Egypt
BG Egypt
Apache Energy
Dana Gas
Edison
RWE Dea
Other Summaries
Regional Overview
Africa Overview
Lower Risk Appetite Slowing Exploration Drive
Unconventionals: New Frontier
East Africa: Offshore Gas, Onshore Oil
High-Risk Continent
Downstream Blues
Global Industry Overview
Table: Key US Production Zones Average Full Cycle Breakeven Cost Per Barrel (USD/bbl)
Table: Canadian Oil Sands Average Full Cycle Breakeven Cost Per Barrel (USD/bbl)
Table: Middle East Onshore Conventional Breakeven Cost Per Barrel, (USD/BBL)
Table: Average Fiscal Breakeven Prices Of Key Middle East Producers 2014 (USD/bbl)
Appendix
Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices, 10-year Forecasts
Table: Energy Price Forecasts ( Global 2012-2017)
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2018-2023)
Africa - Regional Appendix
Table: Oil Consumption - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 ('000b/d)
Table: Oil Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 ('000b/d)
Table: Oil Production - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 ('000b/d)
Table: Oil Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 ('000b/d)
Table: Refining Capacity - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 ('000b/d)
Table: Refining Capacity - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 ('000b/d)
Table: Gas Consumption - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 (bcm)
Table: Gas Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 (bcm)
Table: Gas Production - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 (bcm)
Table: Gas Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 (bcm)
Table: LNG Net Exports - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 (bcm)
Table: LNG Net Exports - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 (bcm)
Egypt - Refined Products Breakdown, 10-Year Forecast
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Production Breakdown (Egypt 2012-2017)
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Production Breakdown (Egypt 2018-2023)
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Consumption Breakdown (Egypt 2012-2017)
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Consumption Breakdown (Egypt 2018-2023)
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Net Exports Breakdown (Egypt 2012-2017)
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Net Exports Breakdown (Egypt 2018-2023)
Egypt - Total Hydrocarbons, 10-Year Forecasts
Table: Total Hydrocarbons Production, Consumption & Net Exports (Egypt 2012-2017)
Table: Total Hydrocarbons Production, Consumption and Net Exports (Egypt 2018-2023)
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Source
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Bmi's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Table: Weighting

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