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Egypt Agribusiness Report Q4 2015

BMI Industry View
SWOT
Agribusiness
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Grains Outlook
Table: Wheat Production & Consumption (Egypt 2014-2019)
Table: Corn Production & Consumption (Egypt 2014-2019)
Table: Wheat Production & Consumption (Egypt 2009-2014)
Table: Corn Production & Consumption (Egypt 2009-2014)
Rice Outlook
Table: Rice Production & Consumption (Egypt 2013-2019)
Table: Rice Production & Consumption (Egypt 2009-2014)
Livestock Outlook
Table: Poultry Production & Consumption (Egypt 2014-2019)
Table: Beef Production & Consumption (Egypt 2014-2019)
Table: Poultry Production & Consumption (Egypt 2009-2014)
Table: Beef Production & Consumption (Egypt 2009-2014)
Dairy Outlook
Table: Milk Production & Consumption (Egypt 2014-2019)
Table: Cheese Production & Consumption (Egypt 2014-2019)
Table: Butter Production & Consumption (Egypt 2014-2019)
Table: Milk Production & Consumption (Egypt 2009-2014)
Table: Cheese Production & Consumption (Egypt 2009-2014)
Table: Butter Production & Consumption (Egypt 2009-2014)
Sugar Outlook
Table: Sugar Production & Consumption (Egypt 2014-2019)
Table: Sugar Production & Consumption (Egypt 2009-2014)
Commodities Price Analysis
Monthly Softs Strategy
Table: India - Monsoon Rainfall, Irrigation And Production In The Main Agricultural States
Monthly Grains Strategy
Table: Grain Prices With Select Metrics (USc/bushel)
Upstream Analysis
Africa GM Outlook
Table: Farm Size By Region
Africa Machinery Outlook
Table: How Africa Compares With Other Regions
Table: Farm Size By Region (2012)
Africa Fertiliser Outlook
Downstream Analysis
Mass Grocery Retail
Table: Grocery Retail Sales By Format, %
Drink
Alcoholic Drinks
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Egypt 2012-2019)
Soft Drinks
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production & Trade (Egypt 2012-2019)
Hot Drinks
Table: Hot Drink Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Egypt 2012-2019)
Food
Food Consumption
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts (Egypt 2012-2019)
Confectionery
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Egypt 2012-2019)
Dairy
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Egypt 2012-2019)
Pasta
Table: Pasta Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Egypt 2012-2019)
Fish
Table: Fish Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Egypt 2012-2019)
Meat
Table: Meat Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Egypt 2012-2019)
Frozen Fruit & Vegetables
Table: Frozen Fruit & Vegetables Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Egypt 2012-2019)
Oils & Fats
Table: Oils & Fats Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Egypt 2012-2019)
Snack Foods
Table: Snack Foods Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Egypt 2012-2019)
Regional Overview
Middle East & Africa Regional Overview
Table: Foreign Investment In Africa's Palm Oil Sector
Competitive Landscape
Table: Main Agribusiness Players
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Egypt 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Egypt 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Egypt 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Egypt 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Egypt 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology

Egypt Agribusiness Report Q4 2015

BMI View: Egypt is the world's largest wheat importer and will benefit from the recent sell-off in grainprices. The country recently reformed its food subsidy programme, introducing an income-based subsidy inthe form of a multi-commodity monthly stipend, which we expect to modify the typical household's foodbasket. We believe that particularly good growth prospects exist in the country's livestock and dairyindustries, as cattle herds continue to recover from a foot and mouth outbreak in 2012. These sectors willalso benefit from lower global grain prices relative to the last several years and an improving domesticeconomic situation.

Key Forecasts

Wheat production growth 2013/14 to 2018/19: 3.5% to 8.5mn tonnes. This will largely be the result ofgovernment efforts to increase area planted and yields in the coming years.

Rice consumption growth to 2019: 10.3% to 4.4mn tonnes. This will come from reform in thegovernment's procurement scheme inducing substitution away from wheat in favour of rice.


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