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Egypt Agribusiness Report Q4 2017

Egypt Agribusiness Report Q4 2017

BMI View:

We have made minor forecast adjustments to account for the new realities and challenges being faced by the Egyptian food sector. We retain our view that Egypt will face growing production deficits in grains and meat as it focuses on export-oriented cash crops, while the dairy sector will benefit from sustained private investment. Leading up to 2021, an expanding population and rising disposable incomes will support consumption growth in sugar and dairy products. Moreover, rice and beef consumption will benefit from the greater range of products available under the new food subsidy scheme. The critical challenges that Egypt faces over the long term are water shortages and the need to improve farming mechanisms to conserve water for sustained irrigation purposes.

The Egyptian currency devalued significantly in Q416, with the dollar-strapped government forced to import sugar, rice and grains to meet growing domestic demand. The decline in the value of the currency will be felt significantly by both the government and private importers in the country as national dollar reserves plummet and domestic demand surges. The currency remains heavily depressed as of 2017, placing a significant burden on the country.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Agribusiness
Industry Forecast
Grains Outlook
Table: Egypt - Grains Production And Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Grains Production & Consumption (Egypt 2013-2021)
Rice Outlook
Table: Egypt - Rice Production And Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Rice Production & Consumption (Egypt 2013-2021)
Livestock Outlook
Table: Egypt - Livestock Production And Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Beef Production & Consumption (Egypt 2013-2021)
Table: Poultry Production & Consumption (Egypt 2013-2021)
Dairy Outlook
Table: Egypt - Dairy Production And Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Dairy Production & Consumption (Egypt 2012-2021)
Sugar Outlook
Table: Egypt - Sugar Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Sugar Production & Consumption (Egypt 2013-2021)
Commodities Price Analysis
Commodities Performance And Forecasts
Table: BMI Commodities Views
Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts
Upstream Analysis
Africa GM Outlook
Africa Machinery Outlook
Table: How Africa Compares With Other Regions
Africa Fertiliser Outlook
Downstream Analysis
Food
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Food Sales (Egypt 2014-2021)
Regional Overview
Six Key Themes For Middle East And Africa Agribusiness
Competitive Landscape
Table: Main Agribusiness Players
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Egypt 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Egypt 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Egypt 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Egypt 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Egypt 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology

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