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Ecuador Power Report Q4 2017

Ecuador Power Report Q4 2017

BMI View:

Ecuador will continue its gradual transition towards hydropower generation and we forecastthe sector's share in the total power mix to reach around 68.2% in 2017. This will make the country's powersector increasingly dependent on weather conditions, while funding constraints and various logistical issuescould lead to some delays in opening new hydro facilities. Despite considerable geothermal potential andgovernment support, we do not expect a breakthrough in non-hydro renewables sector. Weak economicsituation will weigh on energy demand in the near term, but electricity consumption is set to pick up in thesecond half of our forecast period.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

Ecuador will experience a notable growth in power generation over the coming decade. Total generationstood at 23.3TWh in 2016 and we forecast this figure to reach 35.2TWh in 2026. This translates intoaverage annual growth rate of 4.2%.


BMI Industry View
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Ecuador 2016-2022)
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Ecuador Snapshot
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Ecuador 2016-2021)
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Ecuador 2021-2026)
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector
Ecuador Power Forecast Scenario
Thermal Power Generation And Capacity Forecast
Hydropower Generation And Capacity Forecast
Renewables Generation And Capacity Forecast
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Ecuador 2015-2020)
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Ecuador 2021-2026)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Ecuador 2015-2020)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Ecuador 2021-2026)
Electricity Consumption
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Ecuador 2015-2020)
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Ecuador 2021-2026)
Transmission & Distribution
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Ecuador 2015-2020)
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Ecuador 2021-2026)
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Ecuador 2015-2020)
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Ecuador 2021-2026)
Industry Risk/Reward Index
Latin America Risk/Reward Index
Peru Power Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Key Policies And Market Structure
Regulation and Competition
Sustainable Energy Policies
Ecuador Power Projects Database
Competitive Landscape
Table: CELEC EP Subsidiaries
Regional Overview
Latin America - Power & Renewables Mid-Year Update: Key Themes For 2017
Table: Latin America's Power & Renewables Key Themes For 2017
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology
Methodology And Sources
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sources
Power Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Indicators - Explanation and Sources

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