Dominican Republic and Puerto Rico Country Risk Report Q2 2020

Dominican Republic and Puerto Rico Country Risk Report Q2 2020

The Dominican Republic will maintain one of the highest real GDP growth rates in the Caribbean over the coming quarters even as economic activity slowsfrom its 2018 high. An accommodative monetary policy stance will support foreign investment and business expansion, while exports will rebound as globalheadwinds level off.


Brief Methodology
Dominican Republic – Executive Summary
Core Views
Major Forecast Changes
Key Risks
Dominican Republic – Country Risk Summary
SWOT
Economic – SWOT Analysis
Political – SWOT Analysis
Economic Outlook
Economic Growth Outlook
Investment, Rebounding Exports Will Drive Growth In Dominican Republic
Currency Forecast
DOP: Dominican Central Bank Will Keep Peso On Depreciatory Track
TABLE: CURRENCY FORECAST
10-Year Forecast
The Dominican Republic Economy To 2029
Tourism And Manufacturing Will Lead Solid Long-Term Growth
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
Political Outlook
Domestic Politics
Opposition Parties In Dominican Republic Will Capitalise On PLD Rift
Long-Term Political Outlook
Business-Friendly Policies And Security Concerns Likely To Persist
THIS COMMENTARY IS PUBLISHED BY FITCH SOLUTIONS COUNTRY RISK & INDUSTRY RESEARCH and is NOT a comment on Fitch Ratings’ Credit Ratings. Any comments or data included in the report are solely derived from Fitch Solutions Country Risk & Industry Research and independent sources. Fitch Ratings analysts do not share data or information with Fitch Solutions Country Risk & Industry Research.Dominican Republic And Puerto Rico Country Risk Q2 2020ContentsPuerto Rico – Executive Summary
Core Views
Major Forecast Changes
Key Risks
Puerto Rico – Country Risk Summary
SWOT
Economic – SWOT Analysis
Political – SWOT Analysis
Economic Outlook
Economic Growth Outlook
Earthquakes, Risk Of Federal Aid Delays Hit Puerto Rico's Economic Outlook
External Trade And Investment Outlook
Current Account Surpluses To Continue In Puerto Rico, Though Risks Mount
10-Year Forecast
The Puerto Rican Economy To 2029
Fiscal Austerity, Demographics To Keep Long-Term Growth Weak
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
Political Outlook
Domestic Politics
Unused Aid Scandal Ups The Pressure On Puerto Rico's Vázquez
Long-Term Political Outlook
Recession And Political Status The Main Challenges Ahead
Global Macro Outlook
Economic Stabilisation Continues And Inflation Picking Up Slowly
TABLE: GLOBAL MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS (2019-2024)
TABLE: DEVELOPED MARKETS – REAL GDP GROWTH, % y-o-y
TABLE: EMERGING MARKETS – REAL GDP GROWTH, % y-o-y
Index Tables
TABLE: DOMINICAN REPUBLIC – MACROECONOMIC DATA & FORECASTS
TABLE: PUERTO RICO – MACROECONOMIC DATA & FORECASTS

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