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Congo-Brazzaville Telecommunications Report Q4 2017

Congo-Brazzaville Telecommunications Report Q4 2017

BMI View:

Market conditions in each of Burundi, Congo-Brazzaville and the Democratic Republic of the Congo are broadly similar, with mobile markets highly prepaid-focused and advanced non-voice (ie, nonmessaging) data services largely absent. 3G migration is well advanced, however, and 4G services are beginning to be rolled out. Low consumer incomes, limited spending powers and weak levels of domestic demand, as well as volatile political, economic and security environments, weigh on potential returns on investment. Viettel's launch in Burundi shows there is scope for new players, albeit only for those willing to take the risk. The wireline sector is weak and incumbent-dominated in all three markets, although there are the first signs of competition in Burundi. Mobile broadband accounts for nearly all the countries' broadband subscriptions as fixed providers are hampered by lack of infrastructure and the high cost of international bandwidth. Looking ahead, we note that there is long-term organic growth in the three markets, but premium service upselling remains depressed due to macroeconomic weaknesses.

Latest Updates And Industry Developments

We have amended our forecasts for the mobile sector in all three markets, raising the forecast slightly in the DRC as quarterly losses decreased by the end of 2016. Nevertheless, we note that the DRC saw strong mobile market growth in the first two quarters of 2017, suggesting that organic growth in the mobile market remains steady.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Congo-Brazzaville Telecoms
DRC Telecoms
Burundi Telecoms
Industry Forecast
Congo-Brazzaville Industry Forecast
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Congo-Brazzaville 2014-2021)
DRC Industry Forecast
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Congo (Congo (DRC) 2014-2021)
Burundi Industry Forecast
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Burundi 2014-2021)
Industry Risk Reward Index
Sub-Saharan Africa Risk/Reward Index
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa - Telecoms Risk/Rewards Index, Q4 2017
Industry Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Congo-Brazzaville Market Overview
Market Drivers And Trends
Mobile
Wireline Voice And Broadband
DRC Market Overview
Market Drivers And Trends
Mobile
Wireline Voice And Broadband
Burundi Market Overview
Market Drivers And Trends
Mobile
Wireline Voice And Broadband
Pay-TV/Convergence
Regulatory Development
Regulatory Overview
Industry Risks
Regulatory Environment And Developments
Table: Regulatory Breakdown
Competitive Landscape
Table: Key Players
Table: DRC Mobile Market Overview
Table: Congo-Brazzaville Mobile Market Overview
Table: Burundi Mobile Market Overview
Company Profile
MTN
Table: MTN Indicators, 2015-2016
Orange
Table: Orange's Proportional Subscriptions
Airtel Africa
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Congo-Brazzaville 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Congo-Brazzaville 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Congo-Brazzaville 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Congo-Brazzaville 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Congo-Brazzaville 1990-2025)
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Congo (DRC) 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Congo (DRC) 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Congo (DRC) 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Congo (DRC) 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Congo (DRC) 1990-2025)
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Burundi 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Burundi 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Burundi 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Burundi 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Burundi 1990-2025)
Glossary
Table: Glossary of Terms
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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