Burundi and the DRC's mobile markets have prospects for organic growth over long-term forecast period to 2028. Webelieve both markets will see volatile growth driven by aggressive price competition and promotional offers, and subsequently byfurther but less extensive registration campaigns. 4G adoption has yet to take root in the DRC, despite the regulator grantingVodacom and Orange LTE licences in 2018. However, 3G is available in all three countries, and we believe that mobile data uptakehas been encouraging, although the markets are still weighted towards 2G. Operators will struggle to retain subscriber loyalty inthese highly prepaid-focused markets and the lack of advanced VAS means they will continue to struggle to boost revenues persubscriber. Lack of access infrastructure and low international bandwidth makes fixed broadband a tough investment for fixed ISPs,meaning that mobile broadband will continue to proliferate in the medium term. Both Burundi and the DRC are facing increasingpolitical risks and security concerns. The exit of humanitarian organisations in Burundi as well as a state-imposed shutdown in theDRC in December 2018 will be of particular concern to potential investors.
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