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China Telecommunications Q3 2018

BMI Industry View
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Industry Trend Analysis
13th Five-Year Plan To Provide Boost To Domestic IT, CE Sectors
Industry Risk/Reward Index
Competition, Political Uncertainty Weigh On Investment Attractiveness
China Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Regulatory Development
Regulatory Overview
Competitive Landscape
Company Profile
China Mobile
China Telecom
China Unicom
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
Telecommunications Glossary
Telecommunications Methodology

BMI View:

We have upgraded our mobile growth forecast, based on positive data from the regulator and the operators and we haveBMI Viewalso boosted our 3G/4G outlook for the same reason. While 3G subscriptions will gradually decline, we forecast strong growth for4G. Similarly, we believe that broadband growth will be stronger than we predicted in the previous forecast. The ICT sector is integralto China's 13th five-year plan (2016-2020) and will stimulate growth in other industries. While the plan lays out ambitious broadbandtargets, profitability in the telecoms sector will be largely undermined by the state-owned operators' need to compress prices tomeet them. On the other hand, local IT and consumer electronics companies will gain from a higher budget for R&D (2.1% of GDP to2.5%) and reduced reliance on imports for high-tech inputs.


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