China Retail Report Q2 2016

China Retail Report Q2 2016

BMI View: Various high frequency indicators, such as state-owned enterprises performance, industrial profits and purchasing managers indices, continue to point towards a slowdown in the Chinese economy. We believe that the general economic slowdown will begin to take its toll on the country's retail market over the coming year, with the total household spending growth decelerating from 5.4% in 2015 to 4.7% in 2016. Nonetheless, we maintain our view that China will remain one of the most attractive retail markets in the Asia Pacific region, supported by extremely attractive structural factors and trends. Key Views & Developments

In early 2016, Wal-Mart signed a strategic cooperation agreement with the southern Chinese municipal government of Dongguan to build eight new stores and a logistics distribution centre that will cover the entire South China region.

BMI Industry View
Industry Forecast
Headline Retail Forecast
Table: Total Household Spending (China 2013-2020)
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (China 2013-2020)
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (China 2013-2020)
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (China 2013-2020)
Retail Sector Forecast
Food & Drink
Table: Food, Drink & Tobacco Spending (China 2013-2020)
Clothing & Footwear
Table: Clothing & Footwear Spending (China 2013-2020)
Household Goods
Table: Household Goods Spending (China 2013-2020)
Personal Care & Effects
Table: Personal Care Spending (China 2013-2020)
Household Numbers and Income Forecast
Table: Provinces That Could Play Catch Up
Table: Household Income Data (China 2013-2020)
Table: Labour Market Data (China 2013-2020)
Demographic Forecast
Table: Total Population (China 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Babies (China 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Young Children (China 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Children (China 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Young People (China 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (China 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (China 2013-2020)
Table: Population: 21yrs + (China 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Young Adults (China 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Middle Aged (China 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Urban (China 2013-2020)
Industry Risk Reward Index
Asia Risk/Reward Index
Table: Asia Pacific Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q216
China Risk Reward Index
Market Overview
Competitive Landscape
Clothing & Footwear
Table: Selected Clothing & Footwear Retailers
Household Goods
Table: Selected Household Goods Retailers
Table: Selected Electronics Retailers
Department Stores
Table: Selected Department Stores
Table: Selected E-Commerce Retailers
Table: Selected Pharmacies
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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