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China Real Estate Report 2016

China Real Estate Report 2016

BMI View: China's property market is suffering from oversupply due to years of high levels of development.

Rising demand is not sufficient to drive up rental rates. The government is restricting development activity in 2015 and 2016 in the retail sector with the aim of balancing supply and demand. E-commerce firms and foreign entrants to the markets are expected to be key drivers of demand.

China's real GDP growth has been falling since 2010 from a high of 10.6% to 6.7% in 2015 and is forecast to continue falling to 5.9% in 2016. BMI forecasts the growth in real GDP to remain at this level for the foreseeable future, coming in at a slower than normal rate for the country. Within China's economy, we highlight Shanghai and Beijing as particular centresof business and finance, which are also strongly connected to the rest of the global economy. Wuhan and Shenzhen, meanwhile, are centres of industry, construction and services. Wuhan is also the fastest growing city within China, with an average forecasted annual growth rate from 2006 to 2020 of 2.87%.

BMI Industry View
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Office - China - 2015
Table: Office Rental Rates
Table: China Yield Rates
Retail - China - 2015
Table: Retail Rental Rates
Table: Retail Yields
Industrial - China -2015
Table: Industrial Rental Rates
Table: Industrial Yields
Residential/Non Residential Building - Outlook And Overview
Table: Residential and Non-Residential Building Industry Data (China 2013-2018)
Table: Residential and Non-Residential Building Industry Data (China 2019-2024)
Table: Key Projects: Construction & Social Infrastructure
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Table: Economic Activity (China 2010-2019)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
China - Risk/Reward Index
Table: China Real Estate Risk Reward Index
Market Overview
Competitive Landscape
Property Developers
Property Managers
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (China 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (China 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (China 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (China 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (China 1990-2025)
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Real Estate Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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