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China Petrochemicals Report Q2 2015

China Petrochemicals Report Q2 2015

BMI View: The slowdown in the Chinese petrochemicals market has exacerbated the problem of oversupply in the Asia-Pacific region, according to BMI's latest China Petrochemicals Report. With significant excess capacity, the local petrochemicals industry has a strong basis for growth, moving the country towards self-sufficiency and even exporting a surplus in some segments. Coupled with falling naphtha costs, this will keep prices down over the short to medium term.

The rapid expansion seen in Chinese basic chemicals production capacity in recent years looks set to slow in the coming year. Ethylene capacity is expected to rise by 1mn tonnes per annum (tpa) to 25.7mn tpa in 2015, following a surge of 2.6mn tpa in 2014. Meanwhile, total polymer capacity is set to rise just 2.3% to 50.7mn tpa.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Political
Economic
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Demand
Production
Table: China's Petrochemicals Sector ('000 tpa, unless otherwise stated), 2011-2019
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Activity
Labour Market The Chief Barometer
Zhou Rumours Add New Wrinkle To Reform Story
Industry Risk/Reward Index
Asia Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index
Table: Asia Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Ranking
Industry Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Regulations
Industry Trends And Developments
Upstream
Table: Refineries In China With Over 200,000b/d Capacity
Unconventional Gas Development
Coal-Based Chemicals
Sinopec
PetroChina
CNOOC
Aromatics And Derivatives
Company Profile
China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec)
PetroChina
Table: PetroChina Financial Results (CNYmn)
Regional Overview
Asia Overview
2015 outlook: trouble for mature producers
Feedstock shifts
The coming surge: 2015 and 2016
China and India will dominate Asia demand
Rapid Growth In South East Asia
Global Industry Overview
Outlook for 2015: Falling prices
Medium-term outlook
China versus the US: feedstock wars
Table: Top 10 Ethylene Producers, 2013
Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices, 10-year Forecasts
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2013-2018)
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2019-2024)
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (China 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (China 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (China 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (China 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (China 1990-2025)
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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