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China Freight Transport and Shipping Report Q4 2017

BMI View:

The Chinese economy remains robust and the export-oriented growth model is now witnessingsteady levels of domestic consumption and rising local demand that will all bode well for logistics growth inthe country. We have made only minor adjustments in our Q417 update. Freight volumes carried across allmodes will undergo steady growth in 2017 and there will be an increase in throughput for China's mainports. Robust private consumption and domestic demand uptick levels are driving growth, though theeconomic slowdown limits the potential. Ongoing projects and continuous investment, notably the One Belt,One Road initiative, will boost the economy and benefit freight sectors. The launch of new services in allmodes further contributes to our positive outlook.

Key Updates And Forecasts

The Chinese government is under pressure by the Donald Trump administration to address the tradeimbalances as Trump looks to address the US trade deficits with China. We expect trade regulatoryactivity to remain elevated as China looks to deepen trading relations with governments across the worlddisagreeing with Trump's isolationist views. China showed willingness to have free trade agreement talkswith the European Union, Canada and Mexico in Q217.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Trade Forecast
Table: Trade Overview (China 2014-2021)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (China 2014-2021)
Table: Main Import Partners
Table: Main Export Partners
Road Freight Forecast
Table: Road Freight (China 2014-2021)
Rail Freight Forecast
Table: Rail Freight (China 2014-2021)
Air Freight Forecast
Table: Air Freight (China 2014-2021)
Shipping Forecast
Table: Inland Waterway Freight (China 2014-2021)
Table: Major Ports Data (China 2015-2021)
Market Overview
Company Profile
China Railway Container Transport Corporation
China Southern (Cargo)
CR Intermodal
Daqin Railway Company
13th Five-Year Plan
13th Five-Year Plan: Key Points
Summary Of Contents
Chapter 1: Overview
Table: Targets
Chapter 2: Innovation To Drive Development
Chapter 3: Economic Institutions
Chapter 4: Modernisation Of The Agricultural Sector
Chapter 5: Industries
Chapter 6: Expand The Network Economy
Chapter 7: Build
Chapter 8: New-Type Urbanisation
Chapter 9: Coordination Of Regional Development
Chapter 10: Environmental Protection
Chapter 11: Continue Opening Up
Others:
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (China 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (China 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population
Table: Population By Age Group (China 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Sources

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