China Banking & Financial Services Q2 2019
Preventing systemic risks in the Chinese economy is a key priority of the government over the next three years, assignalled during the annual Economic Work Conference in December 2017, and was reiterated repeatedly by the authorities overthe course of 2018. We believe that policymakers will, therefore, make a concerted effort to curb the financial sector's expansionover the coming years. The opaque shadow banking system will be negatively impacted, alongside insurance and assetmanagement due to their increased linkages. The commercial banking sector will likely be better supervised as loans migrate on-balance sheets. Despite the expected top-downcurb on the sector's expansion, we remain positive in our view across the fourmarkets of thefinancial services sector that we track - banking, insurance,asset management and stockexchanges across ourforecast period. Within this, the tightening of regulations and the simultaneous opening up of markets to overseas operators is anaccelerating trend across all four sectors, providing a greater deal ofcompetition fordomestic players.
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