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Chile Mining Report Q4 2017

Chile Mining Report Q4 2017

BMI View: Chile's mining sector value will continue to contract through 2017 as operational challenges dent copper output. Nonetheless, the country will remain the top global copper producer by a wide margin over our forecast period to 2021.

Latest Updates & Structural Trends

Chile's mining industry value will continue a multi-year decline through 2017 due to labour strikes at key copper mines. We forecast the country's mining industry value to contract by 1.9% in 2017, to USD21.1bn and climb higher thereafter, reaching USD24.7bn by 2021.

Chile, the largest copper producer, will face ongoing challenges, including declining ore grades, freshwater shortages and labour unrest in the copper sector. We revised down Chile's copper production forecast, from a 1.0% contraction in 2017 to a 5.0% decline due to weaker-than-expected output over the first few months and ongoing challenges from declining ore grades. We forecast Chile to produce 5.2mnt of copper in 2017, down slightly from 5.5mnt in 2016, and return to gradual production growth thereafter.


BMI Industry View
Table: Chile Mining Industry Value Forecast (2014-2021)
Latest Updates & Structural Trends
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Copper: Downward Revision To 2017 Due To Strikes, Declining Ore Grades
Table: Copper Production Forecast (Chile 2015-2026)
Table: Chile - Key Copper Projects & Expansions
Structural Trends
Gold: Pick-Up In Exploration To Support Long-Term Prospects
Table: Gold Production (Chile 2015-2026)
Table: Chile - Key Gold Mines & Projects
Lithium: Majors Continue To Drive Production Ramp-Up
Table: Lithium Production Forecast (Chile 2015-2026)
Table: Chile - Key Lithium Projects
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Industry Risk/Reward Index - Chile – Q4 2017
Latin America - Americas Mining: Highlighting New Opportunities In A Diverse Landscape
Regulatory Development
Commodities Forecast
Commodities Performance And Forecasts
Table: BMI Commodities Views
Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts
Competitive Landscape
Table: Chile - Largest Listed Mining Companies Financial Data
Company Profile
Antofagasta - Q4 2017
Table: Antofagasta Minerals - Key Financial Data
Codelco - Q4 2017
Table: Codelco - Key Financial Data
Global Company Strategy - Anglo American
Table: Select Commodities - Price Forecasts
Table: Anglo American - Key Projects
Table: Anglo American - Financial Data
Regional Overview
Latin America (Region) - Americas Mining: The Four Key Themes
Table: Americas - Largest Mining Projects By Capex
Table: Americas Mining Key Themes - Mid-Year Update
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sources

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