Central Asia Power Report Q1 2016

Central Asia Power Report Q1 2016

BMI View: Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan will rely on gas-fired power generation during our 10-yearforecast period, as a result of large domestic gas supplies coupled with few export commitments. Tajikistanand Kyrgyzstan, on the other hand, will suffer from power generation shortfalls, due to headwindspreventing diversification away from unreliable hydropower. The deteriorating macroeconomic backdrop -with China slowing down and Russia experiencing poor economic performance and commodity pricesfalling - underscores our muted view for the region this quarter.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

The devaluation of the Kazakh tenge puts pressure on the currencies of Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan,Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan. In particular, the Kyrgyz and Tajik economies are likely to suffer themost, as they rely heavily on remittances from Kazakhstan and a poorly performing Russia.

The development of Kyrgyzstani and Tajikistani hydropower will remain a contentious issue in CentralAsia, as Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan strongly oppose developments due to worries that the downstreamof the Amu Darya and Syr Darya rivers will suffer negative consequences.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Central Asia Snapshot
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Turkmenistan, Tajikistan, Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan 2014-2019)
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Turkmenistan, Tajikistan, Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan 2019-2024)
Kyrgyzstan
Power Mix To Remain Vulnerable To Supply Disruptions
Hydropower Generation And Capacity Forecast
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Kyrgyzstan 2013-2018)
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Kyrgyzstan 2019-2024)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Kyrgyzstan 2013-2018)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Kyrgyzstan 2019-2024)
Electricity Consumption
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Kyrgyzstan 2013-2018)
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Kyrgyzstan 2019-2024)
Transmission And Distribution
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Kyrgyzstan 2013-2018)
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Kyrgyzstan 2019-2024)
Tajikistan
Hydropower Generation And Capacity Forecast
Natural Gas Generation And Capacity Forecast
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Tajikistan 2013-2018)
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Tajikistan 2019-2024)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Tajikistan 2013-2018)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Tajikistan 2019-2024)
Electricity Consumption
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Tajikistan 2013-2018)
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Tajikistan 2019-2024)
Transmission And Distribution
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Tajikistan 2013-2018)
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Tajikistan 2019-2024)
Turkmenistan
Gas Generation And Capacity Forecast
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Turkmenistan 2013-2018)
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Turkmenistan 2019-2024)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Turkmenistan 2013-2018)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Turkmenistan 2019-2024)
Electricity Consumption
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Turkmenistan 2013-2018)
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Turkmenistan 2019-2024)
Transmission & Distribution
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Turkmenistan 2013-2018)
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Turkmenistan 2019-2024)
Uzbekistan
Gas Generation And Capacity Forecast
Coal Generation And Capacity Forecast
Hydropower Generation And Capacity Forecast
Non-Hydropower Renewables Generation And Capacity Forecast
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Uzbekistan 2013-2018)
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Uzbekistan 2019-2024)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Uzbekistan 2013-2018)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Uzbekistan 2019-2024)
Electricity Consumption
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Uzbekistan 2013-2018)
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Uzbekistan 2019-2024)
Transmission & Distribution
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Uzbekistan 2013-2018)
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Uzbekistan 2019-2024)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
CEE Power Risk Reward Index
Industry Risk Reward Index
Central Asia - Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Regulation And Competition
Pricing
Central Asia - Projects Database
Competitive Landscape
Uzbekenergo
Barki Tojik
Turkmenenergo
Electric Power Plants
The National Electricity Grid of Kyrgyzstan
Regional Overview
CEE Power Regional Overview
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology
Methodology And Sources
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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