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Central America Infrastructure Report Q1 2016

Central America Infrastructure Report Q1 2016

Central America Infrastructure Report Q1 2016

BMI View: We forecast an average of 2.1% real growth for the six construction industries of CentralAmerica in 2016. The decline from our forecast for 2015 - 4.4% - is mainly due to a steep drop-off inPanama as it concludes expansion of the Panama Canal and a normalisation of a housing boom inNicaragua. The region will still offer significant opportunities: the transport sector will see strong growthas development funds target regional integration and Panama will recover by 2018 as increased publicspending funds a strong project pipeline.Latest Updates And Structural Trends

El Salvador's construction industry is poised to benefit from an influx of capital from regionaldevelopment banks and a US aid agency. We have downgraded our forecast for 2015 to a still positive,but muted 1.3%. However, we expect development agency backed projects to pick up steam in 2016 andforecast the construction industry to grow at 4.6% annually from 2016 to 2019.

Honduras is also gaining support from development banks and is set to end its construction industryrecession in 2016. Although projects in the country have suffered from delays in the past, our optimismfor the industry is supported by a number of high-value projects which have already reached financialclose and are set to break ground early in 2016.


BMI Industry View
Table: Central America Construction Industry Real Growth
SWOT
Infrastructure SWOT
Industry Forecast
Panama - Infrastructure Spending To Continue Post Canal Expansion
Table: Panama 10 Year Construction Industry Forecast
El Salvador - Development Funding Poised To Boost Industry
Table: El Salvador 10 Year Construction Industry Forecast
Nicaragua - Boom To Slow In Coming Quarters
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Nicaragua 2014-2024)
Guatemala - Corruption Continues To Beset Sector
Table: Guatemala 10 Year Construction Industry Forecast
Honduras - Construction Industry Set To Recover In 2016
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Honduras 2014-2024)
Costa Rica - Delays And Muted Investment Drag On Construction
Table: Costa Rica 10 Year Construction Industry Forecast
Industry Risk/Reward Index
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Table: Central America Risk Reward Index
Latin America - LatAm Infrastructure RRI: Ambitious Plans Will See Limited Realisation
Table: Latin America Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Competitive Landscape
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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