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Central America Food and Drink Report Q3 2015


Attention: There is an updated edition available for this report.

BMI View: The economic trajectory for the region remains divergent. Despite our expectations for slowerreal GDP growth in Panama in the next several years, it will remain the regional outperformer. On theother hand, we have a more mixed outlook for growth in the 'northern triangle' countries. While they willlikely benefit from improved agricultural yields and stronger US demand for manufactured goods,Guatemala, Honduras and El Salvador are still vulnerable to significant structural macroeconomicweaknesses. We have upgraded our 2015 real private consumption growth outlook for several CentralAmerican economies, mainly due to an uptick in remittances from the US and the positive effect of cheaperfuel prices on household spending.

Headline Industry Data (regional averages)

2014 per capita food consumption (US dollar terms) = +4.8%; forecast compound annual growth rate(CAGR) 2014 to 2019 = +4.4%.

2014 alcoholic drink sales (litres) = +5.1%; forecast CAGR 2014 to 2019 = +4.6%.

2014 soft drink sales (litres) = +5.0%; forecast CAGR 2014 to 2019 = +4.6%.

2014 mass grocery retail sales (local currencies) = +6.2%; forecast CAGR 2014 to 2019 = +6.5%.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Food
Drink
Mass Grocery Retail
Industry Forecast
Consumer Outlook
Food
Food Consumption
Table: Guatemala - Food Consumption Indicators, 2011-2019
Table: Costa Rica - Food Consumption Indicators, 2011-2019
Table: El Salvador - Food Consumption Indicators, 2011-2019
Table: Honduras - Food Consumption Indicators, 2011-2019
Confectionery
Meat
Table: El Salvador - Meat Volume Sales, Production & Trade, 2011-2019
Jams & Jellies
Table: El Salvador - Jams & Jellies Volume Sales, Production & Trade, 2011-2019
Pasta
Table: El Salvador - Pasta Volume Sales, Production & Trade, 2011-2019
Prepared Fish
Table: El Salvador - Fish Volume Sales, Production & Trade, 2011-2019
Table: Costa Rica - Fish Volume Sales, Production & Trade, 2011-2018
Oils & Fats
Table: Costa Rica - Soya Bean Oil Volume Sales, Production & Trade, 2011-2019
Table: Guatemala - Soya Bean Oil Volume Sales, Production & Trade, 2011-2019
Table: El Salvador - Margarine Volume Sales, Production & Trade, 2011-2019
Dairy
Table: El Salvador - Dairy Volume Sales, Production & Trade, 2011-2019
Drink
Hot Drinks
Table: Guatemala Coffee Sales, 2011-2019
Table: Costa Rica Coffee Sales, 2011-2019
Table: El Salvador Coffee Sales, 2011-2019
Table: Honduras Coffee Sales, 2011-2019
Alcoholic Drinks
Table: Guatemala Alcoholic Drink Sales, 2011-2019
Table: Costa Rica Alcoholic Drink Sales, 2011-2019
Table: El Salvador Alcoholic Drink Sales, 2011-2019
Table: Honduras Alcohol Sales, 2011-2019
Soft Drinks
Table: Guatemala Soft Drink Sales, 2011-2019
Table: Costa Rica Soft Drink Sales, 2011-2019
Table: El Salvador Soft Drink Sales, 2011-2019
Table: Honduras Soft Drink Sales, 2011-2019
Mass Grocery Retail
Table: Regional Sales Breakdown By Retail Format, %, 2012-2022
Table: Guatemala Mass Grocery Retail Sales, 2011-2019
Table: Costa Rica Mass Grocery Retail Sales, 2011-2019
Table: El Salvador Mass Grocery Retail Sales, 2011-2019
Table: Honduras Mass Grocery Retail Sales, 2011-2019
Trade
Table: Guatemala Food And Drink Trade Balance, 2011-2019
Table: Costa Rica Food And Drink Trade Balance, 2011-2019
Table: El Salvador Food And Drink Trade Balance, 2011-2019
Table: Honduras Food And Drink Trade Balance, 2011-2019
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Table: GDP Contribution To Growth (El Salvador 2012-2020)
Economic Analysis
Table: GDP Contribution To Growth (Guatemala 2012-2020)
Economic Analysis
Table: Fiscal Policy (Honduras 2011-2019)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Latin America - Risk/Reward Index
Table: Latin America Food & Drink Risk/Reward Index Q315
Table: Latin America Food & Drink Risk/Reward Sub-Factor Index Q215 (scores out of 10)
Market Overview
Food
Drink
Hot Drinks
Soft Drinks
Alcoholic Drinks
Mass Grocery Retail
Industry Trends And Developments
Food
Key Industry Trends And Developments
Drink
Key Industry Trends And Developments
Coffee Growers Gaining Support
Mass Grocery Retail
Key Industry Trends And Developments
Competitive Landscape
Table: Key Players In Central America's Food & Drink Sector
Table: Key Players In Guatemala's Mass Grocery Retail Sector
Table: Key Players In El Salvador's Mass Grocery Retail Sector
Table: Key Players In Costa Rica's Mass Grocery Retail Sector
Table: Key Players In Honduras' Mass Grocery Retail Sector
Company Profile
Diana Food
CBC
SABMiller
Florida Ice And Farm
Walmart de México y Centroamérica
Global Industry Overview
Table: Food and Drink Core Views - Q115 Roundup
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Costa Rica 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Costa Rica 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Costa Rica 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Costa Rica 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Costa Rica 1990-2025)
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Guatemala 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Guatemala 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Guatemala 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Guatemala 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Guatemala 1990-2025)
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Honduras 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Honduras 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population And Life Expectancy (Honduras 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Honduras 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Honduras 1990-2025)
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (El Salvador 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (El Salvador 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (El Salvador 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (El Salvador 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (El Salvador 1990-2025)
Glossary
Food & Drink
Mass Grocery Retail
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Food & Drink Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting

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