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Central America and Caribbean Mining Report 2015

Central America and Caribbean Mining Report 2015

BMI View: Mining sectors across Central America and the Caribbean will see varying growth prospects in 2019. The region has significant untapped mineral potential, yet a range of business environments and operational challenges will lead to uneven growth. Overall, the mining sectors of Colombia and Panama will see the strongest longer-term growth, while Guatemala, and to a lesser extent Honduras, will underperform.

Colombia and Panama will outperform other countries in Central America and the Caribbean in terms of mining sector growth over the coming years. The two will lead in their overall business environments and mining sector regulatory frameworks, enabling consistent investment and sector development despite subdued industrial and precious metal prices. Furthermore, both have significant untapped base and precious metal reserves. Colombia will remain one of the world's top exporters of thermal coal in the coming years, and will seek to further diversify its exports and target Asian consumers. Panama will become a major copper exporter once its Cobre Panama copper and gold mine, owned and operated by First Quantum, comes online in Q417, thus delaying significant sector growth until the latter half of the decade.


BMI Industry View
Frontier Central American Markets To Underperform
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Coal: Growth Ahead, Yet Risks Linger
Foreign Demand To Support Sector Growth
Risks To Outlook
Table: Colombia - Coal Production (2011-2019)
Gold: Future Still Looks Golden
Smaller Players To Continue Exploration & Development
Local Opposition To Pose Downside Risk
Table: The Dominican Republic - Gold Production (2011-2019)
Gold And Silver: Muted Outlook
Table: Guatemala - Mining Projects
Protests And Resource Nationalism To Hinder Sector
Table: Guatemala Mining Forecasts (2011-2019)
Gold And Silver: Some Growth, But Headwinds To Limit Development
Headwinds To Persist
Table: Honduras Gold & Silver Forecasts (2011-2019)
Bauxite: Slowly Regaining Ground
Western Markets To Remain Top Buyers
Table: Jamaica Bauxite Forecasts (2011-2019)
Gold: Golden Future Still Years Away
Table: Panama- Mining Projects
Headwinds To Limit Short-Term Prospects
Table: Panama Gold Forecasts (2011-2019)
Table: Table: Panama - Gold Production
Gold: Shift To Gold To Continue
Gold To Present Opportunities
Risks Ahead
Table: Suriname - Gold And Bauxite Production
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Colombia Risk/Reward Index
Rewards
Industry Rewards
Country Rewards
Risks
Industry Risks
Country Risks
Table: Mining Industry Forecasts (Colombia 2011-2019)
Jamaica Risk/Reward Index
Rewards
Industry Rewards
Country Rewards
Risks
Industry Risks
Country Risks
Table: Mining Industry Forecasts (Jamaica 2011-2019)
Panama Risk/Reward Ratings
Rewards
Industry Rewards
Country Rewards
Risks
Industry Risks
Country Risks
Table: Mining Industry Forecasts (Panama 2011-2019)
The Dominican Republic Risk/Reward Index
Rewards
Industry Rewards
Country Rewards
Risks
Industry Risks
Country Risks
Table: Mining Industry Forecasts (Dominican Republic 2011-2019)
Industry Risk Reward Index
Regional Risks Increase Modestly
Weak Prices To Hurt, While Stronger Dollar A Mixed Blessing
Regional Outlook Unchanged Despite Some Reordering
Table: Americas - Mining Risk/Reward Index
Regulatory Development
Panama And Colombia To Be Most Favourable Destinations
Dominican Republic To See Potential Tension
Guatemala & Honduras To Lag
Jamaica And Suriname To Maintain Status Quo
Table: Regional Regulatory Index
Commodities Forecast
Commodity Strategy
Ferrous Metals
Non-Ferrous Metals
Aluminium: Abating Tightness To Cap Prices
Copper: Continued Weakness Ahead
Lead: Prices To Firm As Year Progresses
Nickel: Prices Will Only Rise Gradually
Tin: Waiting On A Deficit
Zinc: Modest Price Growth On Tighter Supply But Looser Demand
Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts
Competitive Landscape
Smaller Players Pursuing Opportunities
Table: Financial Metrics
Company Profile
Goldcorp
Latest Results
Table: Goldcorp - Key Financial Data
Barrick Gold
Company Strategy
Latest Results
Financial Data
Table: Barrick - Key Financial Data
Address Details
First Quantum
Latest Results
Table: First Quantum: Key Financial Data
Regional Overview
Three Key Themes For Americas Mining
Regulatory Changes On Horizon
Dollar Strength To Be Mixed Blessing
Region To Grow More Dominant As Top Copper Source
Global Industry Overview
Global Overview
2. Stronger US Dollar To Persist
3. Iron Ore Market To Consolidate
5. Standouts In 2015
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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