Central America Agribusiness Q2 2018

Central America Agribusiness Q2 2018

BMI View:

We continue to predict growth in Central America's agribusiness industry across our newly-extended forecast period to2022. We highlight that this bullish view is inconsistently across sectors and faces a number of headwinds. However, we areforecasting a positive outlook across the two markets and six nations we track in both production and consumption with thesole exception of beef production in Nicaragua. After making a number of changes last time out, our revisions to our forecasts thisquarter have been more modest but strengthening our positive view on the sector, weighed to the upside. We have revised upwardsour forecasts for corn production in El Salvador, sugar consumption in Honduras, and also pork production in Honduras. Meanwhile,the only revision downwards to our forecasts this quarter has been for sugar consumption in Guatemala. As a result of risingincomes and growing populations, as well as an improving real GDP outlook for the region, demand growth will largely outstripsupply growth in the livestock and grains sectors over the next five years. Future risks for the agribusiness market include disease(predominantly coffee rust disease, or roya) and the potential impact of La NiƱa on food security in the region.

BMI Industry View
Industry Forecast
Livestock Outlook
Grains Outlook
Coffee Outlook
Sugar Outlook
Commodities Price Analysis
Monthly Commodities Strategy: Industrial Rebound Reaching Its Limits
Industry Trends And Developments
Americas GM Outlook
Regional Overview
Five Key Themes For The Americas Agribusiness
Demographic Forecast
Belize Demographic Outlook
Costa Rica Demographic Outlook
Guatemala Demographic Outlook
Honduras Demographic Outlook
Nicaragua Demographic Outlook
Panama Demographic Outlook
El Salvador Demographic Outlook

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