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Canada Retail Report Q2 2016

Canada Retail Report Q2 2016

BMI View: Despite further reductions in the price for oil, and its negative impact on Canada's exportmarket, we expect to see Canada post real GDP growth of 1.8% in 2016. Household incomes are forecast tocontinue growing, with further improvements in employment rates and increasing wages. The Bank ofCanada is likely to maintain the overnight rate of interest at 0.5% for the remainder of 2016, with inflationremaining comfortably within its target range. As a result, we expect Canada's dynamic retail sector todeliver positive expansion over the course of the year.

Key Views & Developments

We expect total household spending to amount toUSD844bn in 2016, down by 1.2%, mostly due toappreciated US dollar. In Canadian dollar terms, we expect a rise of 4.2% this year.

Essential spending will continue to account for the majority of household spending, with the largestsector represented by housing and utilities at 24.7% in 2016.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Headline Retail Forecast
Table: Total Household Spending (Canada 2013-2020)
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Canada 2013-2020)
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Canada 2013-2020)
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (Canada 2013-2020)
Retail Sector Forecast
Food, Drink And Tobacco
Table: Food, Drink & Tobacco Spending (Canada 2013-2020)
Clothing And Footwear
Table: Clothing & Footwear Spending (Canada 2013-2020)
Household Goods Spending
Table: Household Goods Spending (Canada 2013-2020)
Table: Consumer Electronics Spending (Canada 2013-2020)
Table: Toys, Sports, Gardens and Pets Spending (Canada 2013-2020)
Personal Care Spending
Table: Personal Care Spending (Canada 2013-2020)
Household Numbers and Income Forecast
Table: Household Income Data (Canada 2013-2020)
Table: Labour Market Data (Canada 2013-2020)
Demographic Forecast
Table: Total Population (Canada 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Babies (Canada 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Young Children (Canada 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Children (Canada 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (Canada 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Young People (Canada 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Canada 2013-2020)
Table: Population: 21yrs + (Canada 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Young Adults (Canada 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Canada 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Urban (Canada 2013-2020)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Developed States Risk/Reward Index
Table: Developed States Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q216
Industry Risk Reward Index
Rewards
Risks
Market Overview
Competitive Landscape
Clothing & Footwear
Table: Major Clothing & Footwear Retailers
Household Goods
Table: Major Household goods/ Homeware/ Home Improvement Retailers
Electronics
Table: Major Electronics Retailers
Department Stores
Table: Major Department Stores
E-commerce
Table: Major E-commerce Retailers/Online Marketplaces
Pharmacies
Table: Drug Stores/Pharmacies
Glossary
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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