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Canada Freight Transport Report Q1 2016

Canada Freight Transport Report Q1 2016

BMI View: We anticipate growth across all three freight sectors in Canada, with the rail sector achievingthe highest levels of growth of 3.3% in 2016. This trend falls in line with signs of a general economicrecovery in the country and growth in all key trade indicators, with total trade growing by 3.2% in 2016and peaking at 3.5% in 2017. Canada will continue to trade primarily with the US and signs of economicrecovery in the US should have a positive effect on demand for the country's goods.

We forecast real GDP growth of 1.5% in 2016, with business investment in machinery and equipmentgradually replacing investment in the energy sector over the coming years. We forecast the weakerexchange rate and stronger US demand will see non-commodity goods exports rise and draw downinventories to an extent that businesses will step up their fixed investment in machinery and equipment,which stymies our Canada freight forecasts somewhat due to the US' place as Canada's top trade partner.

BMI Industry View
Freight Transport
Industry Forecast
Trade Forecast
Table: Trade Overview (Canada 2012-2019)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Canada 2012-2019)
Table: Main Import Partners (2006-2013)
Table: Main Export Partners (2006-2013)
Road Freight Forecast
Table: Road Freight (Canada 2012-2019)
Rail Freight Forecast
Table: Rail Freight (Canada 2012-2019)
Air Freight Forecast
Table: Air Freight (Canada 2012-2019)
Market Overview
Company Profile
Air Canada Cargo
Canadian National Railway Company
Canadian Pacific Railway
Political Outlook
Domestic Politics
Table: Canada - House Of Commons Latest Seat Projections By Province
Table: Political Overview
Long Term Political Outlook
Oil Price Outlook
Europe - Brent On Board For A Bumpy Ride
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Table: Canada Macroeconomic Forecasts
Table: Average Oil Price Forecasts (USD/bbl)
Table: Private Consumption Forecasts
Table: Government Consumption Forecasts
Table: Fixed Investment Forecasts
Table: Net Exports Forecasts
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Canada 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Canada 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Canada 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Canada 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Canada 1990-2025)
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology

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