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Canada Food and Drink Report Q3 2015

BMI View: The collapse in global oil prices will see Canada's energy-related fixed investment fall andunemployment rise, which will hurt household spending levels this year and next. Our latest oil-pricerevisions have prompted us to downgrade Canada's real GDP growth forecast from 2.1% to 1.5% in 2015.

Canadian households will - on balance- benefit from the decline in fuel prices, adding to their disposableincome and limiting the downside to private consumption growth in the next two years. However, we havelowered our 2015 real private consumption growth forecast from 2.5% to 1.8%, as business sentiment andhiring expectations have moved decidedly lower.

Headline Industry Forecasts (local currency)

2015 per capita food consumption growth = +1.5% year-on-year (y-o-y); forecast compound annualgrowth rate (CAGR) 2014 to 2019 = +1.5%;

2015 alcoholic drink sales growth = +3.8% y-o-y; forecast CAGR 2014 to 2019 = +4.2%;

2015 soft drink sales growth = +4.2% y-o-y; forecast CAGR 2014 to 2019 = +4.1%;

2015 mass grocery retail sales growth = +3.6% y-o-y; forecast CAGR 2014 to 2019 = +3.5%.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Food
Drink
Mass Grocery Retail
Industry Forecast
Consumer Outlook
Food
Food Consumption
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts (Canada 2012-2019)
Confectionery
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Canada 2012-2019)
Canned Food
Processed Fish
Frozen Fruit & Vegetables
Table: Frozen Fruit & Vegetables Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Canada 2014-2019)
Oils & Fats
Dairy
Drink
Alcoholic Drinks
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Canada 2014-2019)
Soft Drinks
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production & Trade (Canada 2014-2019)
Hot Drinks
Table: Hot Drink Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Canada 2014-2019)
Mass Grocery Retail
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data & Forecasts (Canada 2014-2019)
Table: Sales Breakdown By Retail Format Type, %
Trade
Table: Trade Balance - Historical Data & Forecasts (Canada 2014-2019)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Table: Canada - Real GDP Growth Forecasts, %
Table: GDP By Expenditure (Canada 2012-2019)
Market Overview
Food
Food Consumption
Food Processing
Confectionery
Dairy
Drink
Alcoholic Drinks
Soft Drinks
Hot Drinks
Mass Grocery Retail
Leading Players
Table: Structure Of Mass Grocery Retail Market By Estimated Number of Outlets (Canada 2006-2015)
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (Canada 2006-2015)
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (Canada 2006-2015)
Industry Trends And Developments
Food
Drink
Mass Grocery Retail
Competitive Landscape
Table: Key Players In Canada's Food Sector
Table: Key Players In Canada's Drinks Sector
Table: Key Players In Canada's Mass Grocery Retail Industry
Company Profile
Saputo
George Weston Ltd
Maple Leaf Foods
Corby Spirit And Wine Ltd
Cott Corp
Loblaw Companies Ltd
Metro Inc
Sobeys
Walmart
Global Industry Overview
Table: Food and Drink Core Views - Q115 Roundup
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Canada 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Canada 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Canada 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Canada 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Canada 1990-2025)
Glossary
Food & Drink
Mass Grocery Retail
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Food & Drink Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting

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