Cameroon And Gabon Telecommunications Q3 2019
In this Q319 update, Cameroon and Gabon's mobile markets continue to perform in line with our forecasts through to2028. The markets still offer substantial organic growth potential, which experienced regional players such as MTN and Airtel arewell positioned to exploit. However, further discounting of inactive SIM connections remain a key risk to our forecast for mobilesubscription growth. Moreover, both governments have resorted to internet disruptions to quell social unrest, a factor which poses akey downside risk for 3G/4G uptake. This will be detrimental at a time when operators are focusing on migrating users to advancedservices to lift user spend on their networks. Both Gabon and Cameroon are actively investing in fibre-optic networks. In Cameroon,the regulator ART is actively encouraging investment in backbone fibre, a move that will allow operators to lower costs and invest inmore advanced services. However, we maintain our view that in light of growing fixed to mobile substitution, data and data-centricvalue-added services, will be the main driver of growth in the mobile sector over the next few years.
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