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Cambodia and Laos Autos Report Q1 2016

Cambodia and Laos Autos Report Q1 2016

The common theme in Cambodia, Myanmar and Laos is that used vehicles make up the overwhelmingmajority of their auto markets. The low GDP per capita of these economies makes it difficult for consumersto afford new cars. However, as long as carmakers maintain their expectations, we do see an area for firmsto develop a toehold in these frontier markets.

Between 2015 and 2020, we forecast GDP per capita to exceed 6.0% annual growth in all these economies,aided by their young demographics. As incomes rise, new vehicle sales will inevitably increase whenmotorisation finally takes off, which we believe will take place when these countries achieve GDP percapita of USD3,000. Based on our forecasts, Myanmar and Laos will reach this stage in 2019 and 2021respectively, while Cambodia will not yet have attained this by 2024. Firms which have built up their brandawareness and loyalty will then be able to reap the benefits of the motorisation boom.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Myanmar SWOT
Cambodia SWOT
Laos SWOT
Industry Forecast
Myanmar
Passenger Cars
Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Myanmar 2013-2019)
Table: Carmakers With A Presence In Myanmar
Table: Myanmar - Import Duties
Commercial Vehicles
Table: Commercial Vehicle Fleet (Myanmar 2013-2019)
Suppliers
Table: Myanmar - Total Vehicle Fleet, 2013-2019
Production
Cambodia
Production
Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Cambodia 2013-2019)
Passenger Cars
Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Cambodia 2013-2019)
Commercial Vehicles
Table: Commercial Vehicle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Cambodia 2013-2019)
Motorcycles
Table: Motorcycle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Cambodia 2013-2019)
Laos
Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Laos 2013-2019)
Passenger Cars
Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Laos 2013-2019)
Commercial Vehicles
Table: Commercial Vehicle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Laos 2013-2019)
Motorcycles
Table: Motorcycle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Laos 2013-2019)
Industry Risk/Reward Indices
Asia - Risk/Reward Index
Developed States Still Lead
Frontier Markets Are A Risky Bet
On The Bubble
Industry Trends And Developments
Myanmar
Cambodia
Laos
Regional Overview
Asia Overview
Table: Asia Autos Production Investment
India Regains Momentum
EVs Still Central For China
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Cambodia 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Cambodia 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Cambodia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Cambodia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Cambodia 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecasts
Sector-Specific Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators

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