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Bulgaria Telecommunications Report Q3 2015


Attention: There is an updated edition available for this report.

Bulgaria Telecommunications Report Q3 2015

BMI View: Subscription growth volatility in Bulgaria's mobile market is due to saturation and the accrualof inactive SIM cards by operators as a result of intense price-driven promotional exercises. Usage of nonvoiceservices is on the rise, but is far from strong enough to offset falling core voice and messagingrevenues as well as the impact of reduced mobile termination rates. A fourth operator is expected to enterthe market soon, but we see scant opportunities for the newcomer and question the wisdom ofinfrastructure-led investments in a market that sorely needs innovation in services.

Key Data

Mobile subscriptions increased by 3.2% y-o-y to 11.021mn in Q115. The robust annual growth masksstrong seasonal fluctuations and we believe operators retain large numbers of inactive accounts.

Market blended ARPU at EUR7.8 in Q115 was down slightly year-on-year as operators put greateremphasis on the marketing of low-cost prepaid plans.

The fixed-line market contracted by 2.1% in 2014, with 2.105mn wireline voice accesses in service.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
SWOT Mobile
Political
Economic
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Mobile
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Bulgaria 2012-2019)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Table: Central & Emerging Europe Telecoms Index, Q3 2015
Market Overview
Mobile
Regional Perspective
Table: Regional Comparison, 2014
Key Developments
Mobile Growth
Table: Bulgaria Mobile Market
Market Share
Subscriber Mix
Usage (ARPU/MOU)
Table: Market Overview
Table: Mobiltel
Table: Globul
Table: Vivacom
Central And Eastern Europe Mobile Content
Wireline
Key Developments
Fixed-Line
Broadband
Pay-TV And Converged Services
Table: Wireline Developments (2011-2013)
Industry Trends And Developments
Regulatory Development
Table: Bulgaria Regulatory Bodies And Responsibilities
Regulatory Developments
Table: Recent Developments
Competitive Landscape
Table: Key Players: Bulgaria Telecoms Sector
Table: Selected Operators' Financial Indicators
Company Profile
Vivacom
Mobiltel (M-Tel)
Regional Overview
Business Divisions
Table: Revenue By Business Segment (HRK '000)
Financial Performance
Geographical Performance
Table: Revenue By Geography (HRKmn)
Domestic Market
Export Markets
Ericsson Market
Outlook
Table: Selected ENT Contracts, 2013-2014
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Bulgaria 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Bulgaria 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Bulgaria 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Bulgaria 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Bulgaria 1990-2025)
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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