BMI View: Growth prospects in the mobile market will be driven by uptake of advanced 3G/4G services as carriers expand their nationwide high-speed data coverage. Bulgaria is witnessing a strong surge in advanced data usage, with data revenues and ARPUs tracking upwards and mobile voice services revenues stagnating. This is a trend we expect to become more pronounced over the next five years. Mobile substitution continues to drive wireline subscriptions downwards but the variety of bundled services available, and demand for higher-speed services and pay-TV is boosting fixed broadband growth.
Mandatory use of open source software will enable rapid proliferation of - and heightened participation of local technology companies in - e-Government services. However, downside risks include the potential for platform fragmentation, higher TCOs arising from technological change and the prospect of weaker security.