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Brazil Telecommunications Report Q4 2017

Brazil Telecommunications Report Q4 2017

BMI View: We have not made significant changes to our forecasts this quarter as the market performs inline with our core views. SIM deactivations will keep pressure on the market, incurring significant losses.

Our outlook for the next five years remains stable, with growth in 3G/4G uptake. Operators' monetisationefforts will be bolstered by Brazil's improving economic growth prospects. Despite this, political riskassociated with corruption allegations continue to pose downside risk for policy continuity in the sector.

While operators deactivating SIMs will reflect in an apparent contraction of mobile subscriptions, webelieve LTE expansion will drive efforts for 3G/4G migration, as we expect LTE uptake to follow a similartrend to 3G.

Latest Updates And Industry Developments

More than 13.7mn inactive mobile users were shed in 2016 and an additional 2.13mn in H117. Moreaccurate data will enable operators to plan service and network upgrades more effectively and loweroperating costs. 3G/4G migration will be a growth driver through to 2021, by which time there will beover 214mn 3G/4G subscribers in the market.

BMI Industry View
Industry Forecast
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Brazil 2014-2020)
Industry Risk/Reward Index
Latin America Risk/Reward Index
Table: Latin America Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q417
Brazil Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Market Drivers And Trends
Table: Vendors Selected For 4G Rollouts
Wireline Voice And Broadband
Table: Fixed Lines In Service - Historical Concessionaires
Table: Fixed Lines In Service - Authorised Operators
Table: Vendors Selected For 4G Roll-Outs
Table: Wireline Broadband Subscriptions By Operator
Table: Pay-TV Subscriptions By Operator
Regulatory Development
Regulatory Overview
Industry Risks
Main Development: Regulatory Framework Overhaul
Additional Developments
Competitive Landscape
Table: Key Players - Telecoms
Table: Key Players - Media Sector
Table: Mobile Market Overview
Table: Vivo
Table: Claro
Table: TIM
Table: Oi
Company Profile
Claro (América Móvil)
TIM Brasil
Vivo (Telefónica)
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Brazil 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Brazil 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Brazil 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Brazil 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Brazil 1990-2025)
Table: Glossary of Terms
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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