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Brazil Shipping Report Q1 2016

Brazil Shipping Report Q1 2016

BMI View: In 2016, we expect to see Brazil's shipping sector see y-o-y decreases in both tonnage and boxthroughput terms as the malaise affecting the wider economy begins to bite across the board. Lowcommodity prices and weak international demand will keep Brazilian exports down, at least over the shortterm. Imports will not fall enough to significantly counteract declining exports due to a lack of domesticproduction for consumer and capital goods, ensuring that the current account remains wide by historicalstandards.

The outperforming port in container growth terms is set to be the port of Rio in 2016, with a y-o-y increaseof 6.47%, while the tonnage sphere is forecast to grow by an impressive 15.31% at the port of Suape.

Although growth at all of Brazil's main ports is set to be relatively healthy, the ports of Santos and Itajaí(the country's two largest) will both see y-o-y growth drop over the next 12 months.

BMI Industry View
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Port Of Itajaí Throughput
Port Of Santos Throughput
Table: Major Ports Data (Brazil 2012-2019)
Table: Trade Overview (Brazil 2012-2019)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Brazil 2012-2019)
Table: Top Import Sources, 2006-2013 (USDmn)
Table: Top Export Destinations, 2004-2012 (USDmn)
Market Overview
Brazil Container Shipping Market Overview
Company Profile
Aliança Navegação e Logística
Shipping - Global Industry View
Bright Spot For Shipping: Low Bunker Prices
Table: BMI Bunker Fuel (IFO180 & MGO) Price Forecast
Short-Term Outlook (three-to-six months)
Long-Term Outlook
Risks To Outlook
Global Company Strategy
Maersk Line
Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC)
Evergreen Line
COSCO Container Lines Company (COSCON)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Brazil 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Brazil 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Brazil 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Brazil 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Brazil 1990-2025)

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