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Brazil Petrochemicals Report Q2 2016

Brazil Petrochemicals Report Q2 2016

BMI View: The Brazilian petrochemicals industry will only just offset the expected contraction in thedomestic market with export growth, supported by lower naphtha feedstock prices and a weak currency.

While export growth helped limit the effects of a deteriorating domestic market in 2015, there is uncertaintyover the strength of any long-term recovery.

The industry's domestic petrochemicals sales shrank 5.4% in 2015 with national demand for chemicalproducts for industrial use falling 6.8%, according to the Brazilian Chemical Industry Association(Abiquim). The deceleration of domestic activity and the real devaluation affected the volume of imports,which fell 21.6%. This enabled local producers to raise their domestic market share by 5.4 percentage pointseven as the market shrank.

Year on year, Brazilian demand for resins (PE, PP and PVC) was approximately 4.9mn tonnes, down 7.6%from 2014. However, local resins producers' domestic market share was one percentage point higher withresins sales of 3.4mn tonnes, a decrease of 6% in comparison to 2014 but lower than the market'scontraction.

BMI Industry View
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Table: Brazil Petrochemicals Sector - Historical Data And Forecasts, 2012-2020
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Table: 10-Year GDP Forecasts
Table: Private Consumption Forecasts
Table: Government Consumption Forecasts
Table: Gross Fixed Capital Formation Forecasts
Table: Net Export Forecasts
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings
Americas Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index
Table: Americas Petrochemicals Risk/Rewards Ratings
Market Overview
Industry Trends And Developments
2015 in Review
Plants and Projects
Doubts Over Comperj's viability
Legacy of the Petrobras Corruption Scandal
Foreign Ventures
Financial and Operational Performance
Company Profile
Table: Braskem Financial Results - BRLmn
Petróleo Brasileiro (Petrobras)
Regional Overview
Americas Overview
Table: Planned Cracker Projects
Global Industry Overview
Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices
Table: Global Energy Price Forecasts (2014-2019)
Table: Global Energy Price Forecasts (2020-2025)
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Brazil 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Brazil 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Brazil 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Brazil 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Brazil 1990-2025)
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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