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Brazil Freight Transport Report Q1 2016

Brazil Freight Transport Report Q1 2016

BMI View: We expect steady if lacklustre growth in Brazil's freight sector in the coming years, with tepidincreases in mining and agricultural output ensuring demand remains elevated. We caution that a morerobust expansion will be prevented by a slowdown in the consumer sector, weak global commodities and alacklustre external picture. As a result, we expect the road and rail sector will display the largest gains.

Brazil's economy will remain in recession in 2016 after dipping below zero in 2015, for the first time inseven years. We forecast real GDP to contract by -0.8% in 2016 following a contraction of -2.7% in 2015.Major headwinds to private consumption and a fixed investment via a slow resolution of the corruptionscandal at national oil company Petrobras will be the primary driver of the slowdown, with unemploymentreaching 10-year highs and the country's investment attractiveness significantly deteriorated.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Freight Transport
Political
Economic
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Trade Forecast
Table: Trade Overview (Brazil 2012-2019)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Brazil 2012-2019)
Table: Main Export Partners
Road Freight Forecast
Table: Road Freight (Brazil 2012-2019)
Rail Freight Forecast
Table: Rail Freight (Brazil 2012-2019)
Air Freight Forecast
Table: Air Freight (Brazil 2012-2019)
Market Overview
Company Profile
EcoRodovias
LATAM Cargo
Santos Brasil Participações
Vale (Logistics)
Political Outlook
Domestic Politics
Long Term Political Outlook
Table: Political Overview
Oil Price Outlook
Europe - Brent On Board For A Bumpy Ride
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Brazil 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Brazil 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Brazil 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Brazil 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Brazil 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Sources

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