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Brazil Agribusiness Report Q3 2015


Attention: There is an updated edition available for this report.

Brazil Agribusiness Report Q3 2015

BMI View: We believe that grains production growth over the next five years will slow relative to thepreceding five. Nevertheless, we forecast strong grains production growth through to the end of ourforecast period. Soybean production will outpace that of corn output, as lower production costs for soybeanrelative to corn will make the commodity more attractive to grow. We also see strong growth in thelivestock and dairy sectors, as these will continue to benefit from Russia's ban on imports of US products,which is likely to end in August 2015. We hold a more positive view on the sugar industry now than we haveheld in the past, due to reforms in the ethanol sector and the significant depreciation in the real over thepast several months. Real weakness will be a net positive for the country's agricultural sector.

Key Forecasts

Soybean production growth 2013/14 to 2018/19: 10.7% to 96.0mn tonnes. Strong growth will come asmore area is shifted from corn to soybean over the next few years, due to stronger potential yield growth.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Agribusiness
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Sugar Outlook
Table: Sugar Production & Consumption (Brazil 2014-2019)
Table: Sugar Production & Consumption (Brazil 2009-2014)
Grains Outlook
Table: Wheat Production & Consumption (Brazil 2014-2019)
Table: Corn Production & Consumption (Brazil 2014-2019)
Table: Barley Production & Consumption (Brazil 2014-2019)
Table: Wheat Production & Consumption (Brazil 2009-2014)
Table: Corn Production & Consumption (Brazil 2009-2014)
Table: Barley Production & Consumption (Brazil 2009-2014)
Cocoa Outlook
Table: Cocoa Production & Consumption (Brazil 2013-2019)
Table: Cocoa Production & Consumption (Brazil 2009-2014)
Dairy Outlook
Table: Milk Production & Consumption (Brazil 2014-2019)
Table: Cheese Production & Consumption (Brazil 2014-2019)
Table: Butter Production & Consumption (Brazil 2014-2019)
Table: Milk Production & Consumption (Brazil 2009-2014)
Table: Cheese Production & Consumption (Brazil 2009-2014)
Table: Butter Production & Consumption (Brazil 2009-2014)
Coffee Outlook
Table: Coffee Production & Consumption (Brazil 2014-2019)
Table: Coffee Production & Consumption (Brazil 2009-2014)
Livestock Outlook
Table: Poultry Production & Consumption (Brazil 2014-2019)
Table: Pork Production & Consumption (Brazil 2014-2019)
Table: Beef Production & Consumption (Brazil 2014-2019)
Table: Poultry Production & Consumption (Brazil 2009-2014)
Table: Pork Production & Consumption (Brazil 2009-2014)
Table: Beef Production & Consumption (Brazil 2009-2014)
Cotton Outlook
Table: Cotton Production & Consumption (Brazil 2013-2019)
Table: Cotton Production & Consumption (Brazil 2009-2014)
Soybean Outlook
Table: Soybean Production & Consumption (Brazil 2014-2019)
Table: Estimated Production Costs for Biotech Soybean Varieties In Mato Grosso (real/ha)
Table: Soybean Production & Consumption (Brazil 2009-2014)
Commodities Price Analysis
Monthly Softs Strategy
Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts
Monthly Grains Strategy
Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts
Upstream Analysis
Americas GM Outlook
Americas Machinery Outlook
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (Company-based estimates)
Americas Fertiliser Outlook
Downstream Analysis
Food
Food Consumption
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts (Brazil 2012-2019)
Processed Food
Table: Pasta Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Brazil 2014-2019)
Table: Meat Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecast (Brazil 2014-2019)
Table: Jams & Jellies Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecast (Brazil 2014-2019)
Table: Frozen Fruit & Vegetables Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Brazil 2014-2019)
Dairy
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Brazil 2014-2019)
Confectionery
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Brazil 2012-2019)
Table: Sweet Biscuits Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Brazil 2014-2019)
Drink
Hot Drinks
Table: Hot Drink Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Brazil 2014-2019)
Alcoholic Drinks
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Brazil 2014-2019)
Soft Drinks
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production & Trade (Brazil 2014-2019)
Mass Grocery Retail
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data & Forecasts (Brazil 2014-2019)
Table: Sales Breakdown By Retail Format Type (%)
Regional Overview
Competitive Landscape
Table: Main Agribusiness Players
Company Profile
JBS
Table: JBS Financial Results
São Martinho
Table: Financial Results
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Brazil 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Brazil 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Brazil 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Brazil 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Brazil 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology

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