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Brazil Agribusiness Report Q2 2016

Brazil Agribusiness Report Q2 2016

BMI View: We believe that grains production growth over the next five years will slow relative to the preceding five. Soybean production will outpace that of corn, as lower production costs for soybean relative to corn will make the commodity more attractive to grow. However, we see limited growth out to 2019/20 given the scarcity of area available for expansion, as well as high import costs for fertilisers. We hold a more positive view on the sugar industry now than we have held in the past, due to reforms in the ethanol sector and the significant depreciation in the real over the past several months. Real weakness will be a net positive for the country's agricultural sector. Key Forecasts

Soybean average production growth 2015/16 to 2019/20: 1.9% to 106.0mn tonnes. We see limited growth out to 2019/20 given the scarcity of area available for expansion, as well as high import costs for fertilisers.

Poultry average consumption growth to 2020: 3.6% to 11.1mn tonnes. Brazilian poultry consumption will outperform the country's general livestock complex over the coming years, particularly beef which will suffer from the poor economic environment.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Agribusiness
Industry Forecast
Sugar Outlook
Table: Brazil - Sugar Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Sugar Production & Consumption (Brazil 2012-2020)
Grains Outlook
Table: Brazil - Grains Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Wheat Production & Consumption (Brazil 2012-2020)
Table: Corn Production & Consumption (Brazil 2012-2020)
Table: Barley Production & Consumption (Brazil 2012-2020)
Cocoa Outlook
Table: Brazil - Cocoa Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Cocoa Production & Consumption (Brazil 2012-2020)
Dairy Outlook
Table: Brazil - Dairy Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Milk Production & Consumption (Brazil 2012-2020)
Table: Cheese Production & Consumption (Brazil 2012-2020)
Table: Butter Production & Consumption (Brazil 2012-2020)
Coffee Outlook
Table: Brazil - Coffee Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Coffee Production & Consumption (Brazil 2012-2020)
Livestock Outlook
Table: Brazil - Livestock Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Beef Production & Consumption (Brazil 2012-2020)
Table: Pork Production & Consumption (Brazil 2012-2020)
Table: Poultry Production & Consumption (Brazil 2012-2020)
Cotton Outlook
Table: Brazil - Cotton Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Cotton Production & Consumption (Brazil 2012-2020)
Soybean Outlook
Table: Brazil - Soybean Production & Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Soybean Production & Consumption (Brazil 2012-2020)
Commodities Price Analysis
Global Commodities Strategy
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts
Upstream Analysis
Americas GM Outlook
Americas Machinery Outlook
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (Company-based estimates)
Americas Fertiliser Outlook
Downstream Analysis
Food
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Food Sales (Brazil 2013-2020)
Regional Overview
Table: TPP - Main Winners And Losers For Agriculture
Competitive Landscape
Table: Main Agribusiness Players
Company Profile
São Martinho
Table: São Martinho Financial Results
JBS
Table: JBS Financial Results
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Brazil 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Brazil 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Brazil 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Brazil 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Brazil 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology

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